[Coin World] BitMEX veteran Arthur Hayes recently made a bold prediction – that BTC could reach $500,000 by the end of 2026 is not just a pipe dream. His logic is clear: what truly drives the price is not the short-term Candlestick Fluctuations, but the global point shaving trend and the political funding flows brought about by the U.S. election cycle.
In Hayes's view, the main players of the next bull market have already been identified as five assets: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Zcash, and Athena. These coins will reap the greatest benefits from the coordinated point shaving by central banks and the surge in political spending. In simple terms, monetary stimulus + election spending = a cryptocurrency frenzy, a formula that he believes is quite stable.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
13 Likes
Reward
13
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
SchrodingerAirdrop
· 12h ago
500,000 dollars? Haha, this guy is daydreaming again, but to be fair, the logic of point shaving does hold water.
The combination of the political cycle + Central Bank point shaving really feels tailor-made for the crypto world.
Can Solana and Zcash benefit from this wave of dividends? I have some doubts, but betting on five coins in this operation is indeed bold.
Wait, what is Athena? Am I out of the loop?
To be honest, rather than believing in 500,000, it’s better to seize the current opportunity and wait for that wave of point shaving to really come.
Before breaking through the circle, don't make too many promises, it's still safest to follow BTC and Ether.
Is this logic used to find the next 100x coin? Please guide me.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropFreedom
· 12h ago
500,000 dollars? The election plus point shaving can really make it fly like this? Hayes really dares to say that... but I have to admit the macro logic seems to be sound.
---
Once the central bank releases funds, coins go crazy. This trick has been played for so many years and really works every time; it just depends on who reacts quickly.
---
Zcash and Athena? These two obscure coins suddenly being mentioned feels a bit fishy... still, the mainstream five flowers are more stable.
---
Is it true, 500,000 in two years? Should I go all in now... forget it, I'll just watch you all play.
---
The flow of political funds is key, it turns out the biggest market makers in the crypto world are various governments... I was too simple-minded before.
---
Solana is on the list, is this hinting at something crazy? The shadow of FTX hasn't dissipated yet.
---
This logic sounds too perfect; generally, such predictions... end up getting slapped in the face by reality, but who doesn't want to believe it?
View OriginalReply0
SlowLearnerWang
· 12h ago
500,000 USD? Wake up, it's only 2024... it's another case of hindsight predictions, why do these pros love this trap?
View OriginalReply0
DegenGambler
· 13h ago
500,000 dollars? I just chuckle... This guy wants to brainwash new suckers with his point shaving theory?
---
Central Bank point shaving + election money burning will indeed push coin prices, but the key is you have to survive until that day.
---
Five coins locked? Feels like a hindsight strategy, wake up everyone.
---
Arthur Hayes does have a point, but I don't know what pit he is digging this time.
---
Zcash and Athena? This choice is really absurd, I don't understand it.
---
Political cycle + point shaving = pump, this formula is too idealistic, reality is not that simple.
---
It's another "celebrity endorsement" from the crypto world, and everyone who believes it ends up losing.
---
Sounds good, but it's just betting on the government continuing to print money like crazy, I don't dare to take that bet.
---
Two years to 500,000? So should we go heavy position now, be honest.
---
I can accept the logic of being bullish on BTC, but why must Zcash be included?
View OriginalReply0
MerkleTreeHugger
· 13h ago
500,000 dollars? Bro, I like your logic, but it still feels too conservative.
Hayes's argument of "point shaving + elections" can indeed fool people, but history tells us that policy dividends are often underpriced...
Five coins locked up? I can't shake the feeling that some people are going to get played for suckers again.
To be honest, the idea that Bitcoin is eating the Central Bank's lunch is getting more and more absurd, but it’s precisely this absurdity that makes it valuable.
If this round really comes, what will happen to that bunch of shitcoins in Solana? It will be a river of blood.
Former BitMEX leader bets: BTC could reach $500,000 in two years? Five major coins may dominate the next market trend.
[Coin World] BitMEX veteran Arthur Hayes recently made a bold prediction – that BTC could reach $500,000 by the end of 2026 is not just a pipe dream. His logic is clear: what truly drives the price is not the short-term Candlestick Fluctuations, but the global point shaving trend and the political funding flows brought about by the U.S. election cycle.
In Hayes's view, the main players of the next bull market have already been identified as five assets: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Zcash, and Athena. These coins will reap the greatest benefits from the coordinated point shaving by central banks and the surge in political spending. In simple terms, monetary stimulus + election spending = a cryptocurrency frenzy, a formula that he believes is quite stable.