#数字货币市场回升 Is the crypto market calm on the surface in December? Don't be fooled by appearances; the real drama is hidden in these four clues:

**The expectation of interest rate cuts is crucial**
Last week, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December jumped from 45% to 80%, and Ethereum responded by rising from $2800 to $3100. As a result, a rumor about Powell possibly resigning emerged today, and the market immediately reacted with a shake. The truth doesn't matter; what's key is that the current sentiment is so sensitive that even a slight breeze can cause fluctuations.

**Hidden Benefits of Tariff Policies**
If Trump's tariff proposal is finalized this month, it will inject a lot of liquidity into the market, which is definitely a major positive for our circle.

**The variables of the new chairman's candidate**
Before Christmas, there may be a nomination for Hassett to take over, this guy has always advocated for aggressive interest rate cuts. If he really takes office, the expectation of rate cuts will basically be set in stone, and the market might explode in advance.

**The Double-Edged Sword of Ethereum Upgrades**
The hard fork will go live the day after tomorrow, but good news is often already priced in. Be careful of the old trick of "expectation pump and reality dump," and definitely do not buy at high prices.

In simple terms, the market is still alive; it's just that liquidity is waiting for a signal flare. Maintain your positions, step in time, and closely watch the interest rate reduction dynamics—this is the core storyline for this month.