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Don't remind me again today

The early morning market caught many off guard. Bitcoin dropped sharply from around 93k, directly breaking through the psychological barrier of 90k, reaching a low of 88k. Ether also started to slide from the key price level of 3100 USD, with many long positions seeing significant pullback in profits. ZEC performed even worse, falling below the 420 support level and entering a deeper adjustment range. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation scale across the network approached the level of 100 billion USD, and market panic sentiment has clearly intensified.



The trigger for this sharp fall can actually be traced. First, there was a dramatic change in the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December—market pricing dropped from a high probability of 88% to 40%, which means that the high interest rate environment may last longer, putting pressure on all risk assets. Secondly, new variables have emerged on the geopolitical front, as a certain major country has once again introduced tariff policies, quickly igniting global risk aversion sentiment.

Looking at the on-chain data, Bitcoin ETF has seen significant net outflows for two consecutive weeks, indicating that institutional funds are retreating. The leveraged long positions accumulated in the 90k-93k range have led to a cascading liquidation following unexpected negative news, causing a technical breakdown. This price range now appears more like a classic bull trap structure.

However, from another perspective, such levels of pullback are not uncommon during a bull market cycle. After each deep washout, the market often regains strength. The key is to see if several support levels can hold: Bitcoin's previous low range is between 81k-84k, while Ethereum needs to pay attention to the 2880-2980 area. As for ZEC, although it has temporarily fallen below important support, considering the upcoming halving event in December, the narrative logic of the privacy coin sector has not completely failed.

At the current stage, the market has entered a wide-ranging oscillation mode. Instead of betting on the direction of rises and falls, it is better to focus on position control and risk management. In an environment of increased volatility, emotional trading is often the biggest enemy. How long do you think this adjustment will last?
BTC7%
ETH9.04%
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CryptoDouble-O-Sevenvip
· 18h ago
It's a bull trap, just a bull trap. Anyway, I sold long ago, it's most comfortable just watching now. Can 88k hold? It feels like it has to drop further. Institutions are really escaping, this signal is a bit concerning. ZEC Halving narrative? You want me to catch a falling knife, right? Haha. Instead of guessing the direction, it's better to protect my capital, that's my advice. 100 billion liquidation... how can some people be so greedy? I think someone will buy the dip in the 81-84 range. But speaking of which, this wave of whipsaw really isn't that deep. I really didn't see the market in the early morning; when I opened my eyes in the morning, it was already in the red. High interest rates continue, so risk assets will still have a tough time.
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AirdropHunter420vip
· 12-02 02:01
Bull traps are just bull traps, I bought a batch of contracts at the dip this time, waiting for the joy of rebounding and cutting losses. I'm not worried about institutional retreat; after all, retail investors can only survive if others die, holding coins is the way to go. It’s fine if 90k breaks, the key is whether 81-84 can hold. If not, just continue to be trapped; it’s no big deal. What’s the ZEC halving narrative still playing? It feels like it's already overcooked, but since I'm holding, let's just go with the flow. Hearing about a hundred billion liquidation sounds scary, but it's really just a game for the leveraged guys; us small retail investors will just lose a bit of principal at most. In this kind of market, really don’t act emotionally. I’ve already closed all my orders; now I’ll just watch the show. The probability of the Fed cutting rates is 40%. This is indeed a pit; no wonder today is so terrible. I feel there will still be repeated turmoil before the end of the year. Position control is indeed important. I'm currently keeping a 30% position waiting for opportunities; being too greedy will only lead to faster death. Once the tariff policy comes out, everyone will seek safety. We’ve seen this script too many times; the next step is to wait for favorable negotiation news for a rebound.
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TradFiRefugeevip
· 12-01 07:43
A bull trap is just a bull trap; it should have been dumped earlier. Those who think they can buy the dip at 88k really have a gambler's mentality. Institutions have net sold for two weeks; can't you see this signal? What bull run are you talking about? ZEC Halving narrative? Ha, still want to tell a story? Let's survive first. Right now, it's just chaos; talking about position control is easy, but who hasn't been washed out before? It's hard to say if 81k can hold; the problem is, no one dares to buy the dip anymore.
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LiquidatedNotStirredvip
· 12-01 07:28
Hey, wait a minute, are institutions really running? Then my 90k long order has turned me into a dumb buyer. If I had known earlier, I should have listened to my brother, wouldn't it be better to enter at 80k? This time the liquidation scale is a bit scary, is it really hundreds of billions? Can we still talk about the story of ZEC Halving? It feels like Privacy Coins are going to be done for.
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