Recently saw an interesting market simulation:

If I were the one manipulating the market, how would I play it? First, let Bitcoin retrace to 80,000 to create a double bottom pattern, then release some positive news and wait for a bunch of people to rush in and buy the dip. After a slight increase, I would trigger a sharp drop to wipe out those high-leverage long positions. Then I would quickly pull it back around 98,000, making it difficult for those who went short and those who are hedging.

Next, following the possible news from Trump about "no interest rate cut for now," Bitcoin plummeted directly to 50,000. The Nasdaq also fell to 20,000 points. At this point, basically no one dares to buy the dip, and panic sentiment has peaked.

Two months should be enough to complete this round of harvesting. By the time the real interest rate cut expectations materialize, the main players will have already accumulated enough chips at the bottom, and then with the policy shift, it will directly trigger a thorough bull market.

Of course, this is just a possible scenario, and the market is always more complex than imagined.