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Don't remind me again today

The market is saying that the Fed changing leadership is not friendly to Crypto Assets? Don't rush to conclusions.



If the new chairman really adopts a dovish stance, it could be a turning point for the coin circle. Think about it, what has been the positioning of Bitcoin in the eyes of mainstream finance over the years? A definite high-risk asset. And what does dovish mean?

**Where does the loose money flow?**
In a low interest rate environment, a large amount of funds cannot find a safe and profitable place. Traditional bonds yield pitifully low returns, so this money will naturally flow into the crypto market. Once market liquidity picks up, assets like Bitcoin will have room for imagination.

Speaking of hedging demand. When the appeal of the US dollar and US Treasuries declines, investors will reconsider those "alternative options." At this point, the narrative of Crypto Assets becomes more compelling—it is no longer just a speculative tool, but rather part of asset allocation.

The DeFi sector is also worth paying attention to. With the decrease in borrowing costs, on-chain leveraged operations and various protocol activities will definitely become more active. Once this virtuous cycle is initiated, the entire ecosystem will benefit.

**But the coin has another side**

What if the new chairman continues to maintain high interest rates in order to thoroughly suppress inflation? That would be another story. The Fed's primary task has never been to care for risk assets; controlling prices is the hard indicator.

With high interest rates continuing, market liquidity will be continuously drained. Venture capital is shrinking, and the crypto market may have to linger at the bottom for a long time. Is it too early to talk about a bull market in this environment?

**The core is actually just one point**

Regardless of this new chairman's personal inclinations, what truly determines the direction of the Crypto Assets market is the monetary policy he actually implements. A dovish policy is likely to spark a new round of market activity, while a hawkish stance will prolong the period of pain.

There is another easily overlooked angle: although the Fed does not directly manage the regulation of Crypto Assets, the chairman's statements carry significant weight. The global financial markets are watching his attitude.

If he can stabilize inflation expectations and guide the economy to a soft landing, market confidence will rise. A stable macro environment is the real soil needed for all assets, including Crypto Assets.

So it's still too early to say whether it's bearish or bullish. The key is to look at the upcoming policy direction, rather than the personnel changes themselves.
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DegenDreamervip
· 4h ago
It sounds like we still have to gamble on the new chairman's temper, this matter is really not that simple.
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BoredApeResistancevip
· 10h ago
Well said, the policy is the real father, personnel changes are all superficial. Just wait and see, we will know when the doves arrive. If the real doves increase liquidity, that would be great. High interest rates continue? We'll just keep lying at the bottom. Instead of guessing what the new chairman is thinking, it's better to focus on what he is doing. The key is still that saying, a stable environment is needed for the market to move. It's too early to place bets now, let's wait for the policy signals. When the hawks come, the crypto world will continue to suffer, really. Once borrowing costs drop, on-chain activity will directly pick up, this logic makes sense. The Fed controls everything, the choice of candidates is not important, policy is king.
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GamefiGreenievip
· 10h ago
You are right, it is indeed too early to draw conclusions now. The key still depends on how the policy goes. If the doves come in and liquidity rises, then there is indeed room for imagination. But if high interest rates continue, we still have to grind at the bottom. In fact, it boils down to one thing: policy is king. Wait, stabilizing inflation for a soft landing? Is that even possible, haha. If liquidity increases, the DeFi sector will definitely be active, and leverage will go crazy again. To be honest, how the new chairman's attitude is doesn't really matter; we still have to see how real money flows. The Fed always prioritizes controlling prices, and our encryption survival is probably not within their consideration. Tsk, it's always about watching the policy, when will there be a definitive signal? In plain terms, it’s about betting on the direction of the policy; if you bet right, you soar; if you bet wrong, you continue as suckers. Unstable inflation makes everything pointless, that’s the core issue.
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ImpermanentPhobiavip
· 10h ago
Oh, this analysis really has some substance, but it still feels too optimistic. Wait, if the doves really come, will liquidity really flow into the crypto world? I always feel like this logic is a bit off. As for the change of the Fed chairman, it really depends on how he does things; what he says is useless. I just want to ask, what if he takes a hardline approach against inflation? Then we would still be grinding the bottom.
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FromMinerToFarmervip
· 10h ago
Well said, policies are the core, do not let public opinion lead you by the nose.
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JustHereForAirdropsvip
· 10h ago
Alright, it seems we have to wait for the Fed's mood again, really annoying.
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