Recently, two events have stirred the global market and are worth keeping an eye on.
Let’s start with Japan. The central bank suddenly announced an interest rate hike, completely saying goodbye to the ultra-loose monetary policy era, and Japanese stocks plummeted in response. The problem arises—those funds that relied on the low-interest yen for arbitrage are now facing skyrocketing borrowing costs, leading many institutions to begin retreating. If this wave of operations spreads, the money for global risk assets may become very tight.
Looking at the other side in the U.S. There are rumors that Powell might step down early. Although it's not confirmed yet, investors are already panicking. Will there be a sudden policy shift? What about financial stability? Safe-haven funds are starting to quietly move.
If these two shocks continue to ferment, the market may be shaken up. Given the current situation, it's better not to be too aggressive—focus on observation and be cautious in operations. After all, once liquidity tightens, all kinds of assets could be affected.
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IronHeadMiner
· 13h ago
Japan's interest rate hike has forced out the large investors engaging in yen arbitrage, and next, it seems there will be bloodshed...
The rumors about Powell are still circulating, and investors have long since bought the dip; it's really hard to hold on now.
With the combination of two major risks, those who still dare to go all in must have water in their brains.
When liquidity tightens, there are no winners; this wave needs to be guarded against.
The plummet in Japanese stocks has impacted the entire globe; where's the safe haven we were promised?
To be honest, moments like this really test one's mentality; a little itch in the hands isn't a big deal, but a reckless hand can be fatal.
When the Central Bank takes action, the whole world trembles; is this the fate of 2024?
Arbitrage funds are pulling out, and the retail investors behind are just waiting to be crushed, unexpectedly facing cut loss again.
Don't rush; watching the show is more profitable than placing bets.
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PoetryOnChain
· 14h ago
Japan is playing this hand tough, the arbitrage game is about to end... Just imagining the wave of carry trade close positions gives me a headache, and US stocks shouldn't think they can stay out of it.
Is it really true that Powell is stepping down? If this keeps spreading, it might just come true in an instant.
The tightening of liquidity is no joke, my holdings are currently in a wait-and-see state, I'll first see how things go next week.
What does this wave of market movement imply? It feels like safe-haven assets are going to take turns rising?
The appreciation of the yen this time might trigger a chain reaction.
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TxFailed
· 14h ago
actually, the carry trade unwinding thing is giving me major protocol quirk vibes... except this time it's the real economy breaking, not just smart contracts. learned this the hard way in 2015 lol
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ForumLurker
· 14h ago
During the recent interest rate hike in Japan, arbitrage positions really need to run; it feels like global liquidity is tightening.
Is Powell going to be dismissed? Is it true? If this is confirmed, the index will definitely plunge.
Two black swans flying at the same time, better to watch the market honestly; being too greedy when buying the dip is not a good thing.
Brothers with a Full Position now probably won't sleep well, haha.
Is a wave of Yen arbitrage liquidation coming? We need to be cautious during this period.
Are both US and European stocks about to fall together? What happened to the promised safe haven?
This wave really needs close attention; one small mistake and you could get played for suckers.
When liquidity tightens, any asset is just a paper tiger.
The sudden attack by the Bank of Japan could cost many arbitrage positions their lives.
The rumors about Powell have already scared the market this much; just wait until the official announcement.
Recently, two events have stirred the global market and are worth keeping an eye on.
Let’s start with Japan. The central bank suddenly announced an interest rate hike, completely saying goodbye to the ultra-loose monetary policy era, and Japanese stocks plummeted in response. The problem arises—those funds that relied on the low-interest yen for arbitrage are now facing skyrocketing borrowing costs, leading many institutions to begin retreating. If this wave of operations spreads, the money for global risk assets may become very tight.
Looking at the other side in the U.S. There are rumors that Powell might step down early. Although it's not confirmed yet, investors are already panicking. Will there be a sudden policy shift? What about financial stability? Safe-haven funds are starting to quietly move.
If these two shocks continue to ferment, the market may be shaken up. Given the current situation, it's better not to be too aggressive—focus on observation and be cautious in operations. After all, once liquidity tightens, all kinds of assets could be affected.