#数字货币市场回升 Bitcoin this round of big dump has made many people start to doubt: is the bull run still on? Will it continue to crash next?
Let's first talk about the current position. $BTC is stuck in an awkward support zone - the former liquidity-rich area. Technically, it has completed the classic three steps of "sweep low - break - retest", but the question is: can it stabilize from here?
You might ask, how can we determine if there will be a rebound? The key points to look at are: first, whether the structure can confirm a reversal (for example, a CHoCH signal combined with a successful pullback of OB or FVG), and second, whether the trading volume is keeping up. If it's just a volume-less rebound, then it's mostly a trap for the bulls, and both sides will have to continue to tug-of-war.
What about looking down? If the $80,000 support line cannot hold, the next stop is likely in the $70,000 to $75,000 range. Especially in the current environment—traditional markets are still draining, leveraged positions could explode at any time, and institutions are on the sidelines; any variable could trigger a second wave.
But looking at it over a longer period, the story is different. If global liquidity begins to loosen, policies warm up, or ETF funds re-enter the market, Bitcoin could completely decouple from traditional assets and embark on an independent trend. What would be the target at that time? $110,000, $130,000, or even higher is not a dream. The premise is that all three conditions must be met: structural confirmation, liquidity improvement, and large funds entering the market.
At this moment, impulse is the devil. Before the structure has completely confirmed a reversal, don't rush to bottom fish, and even more so, don't heavily invest. The volume, macro policies, and capital flow are still changing, and negative news could break the support at any time.
My suggestion? Gradually allocate your investments, strictly control risks, set stop-loss lines, and don't put all your eggs in one basket. The range of $80,000 to $90,000 is the current lifeline for Bitcoin—holding this level presents an opportunity, but breaking it means you must be mentally prepared for a pullback.
At this time, stabilizing is more important than anything else. $BTC $ETH
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
12 Likes
Reward
12
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
notSatoshi1971
· 11h ago
The bull trap to be played for suckers is an old topic; it's better to wait for a breakout confirmation before discussing it.
View OriginalReply0
SelfStaking
· 11h ago
Sounds not so pessimistic, anyway I don't have a Heavy Position, just treating it like a show.
View OriginalReply0
WealthCoffee
· 11h ago
If 80k can't hold, then we really need to be prepared to buy the dip, otherwise a second dumping will directly wipe us out.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeCry
· 11h ago
If you can't hold 80k, then you really need to reflect seriously, don't even think about 110k.
View OriginalReply0
LeekCutter
· 12h ago
The probability of a bull trap is a bit high, so I will wait and see for now.
#数字货币市场回升 Bitcoin this round of big dump has made many people start to doubt: is the bull run still on? Will it continue to crash next?
Let's first talk about the current position. $BTC is stuck in an awkward support zone - the former liquidity-rich area. Technically, it has completed the classic three steps of "sweep low - break - retest", but the question is: can it stabilize from here?
You might ask, how can we determine if there will be a rebound? The key points to look at are: first, whether the structure can confirm a reversal (for example, a CHoCH signal combined with a successful pullback of OB or FVG), and second, whether the trading volume is keeping up. If it's just a volume-less rebound, then it's mostly a trap for the bulls, and both sides will have to continue to tug-of-war.
What about looking down? If the $80,000 support line cannot hold, the next stop is likely in the $70,000 to $75,000 range. Especially in the current environment—traditional markets are still draining, leveraged positions could explode at any time, and institutions are on the sidelines; any variable could trigger a second wave.
But looking at it over a longer period, the story is different. If global liquidity begins to loosen, policies warm up, or ETF funds re-enter the market, Bitcoin could completely decouple from traditional assets and embark on an independent trend. What would be the target at that time? $110,000, $130,000, or even higher is not a dream. The premise is that all three conditions must be met: structural confirmation, liquidity improvement, and large funds entering the market.
At this moment, impulse is the devil. Before the structure has completely confirmed a reversal, don't rush to bottom fish, and even more so, don't heavily invest. The volume, macro policies, and capital flow are still changing, and negative news could break the support at any time.
My suggestion? Gradually allocate your investments, strictly control risks, set stop-loss lines, and don't put all your eggs in one basket. The range of $80,000 to $90,000 is the current lifeline for Bitcoin—holding this level presents an opportunity, but breaking it means you must be mentally prepared for a pullback.
At this time, stabilizing is more important than anything else. $BTC $ETH