Recently, everyone in the square is talking about Japan's interest rate hike, and a bunch of people in the comments are asking: what does this have to do with the crypto world?
To be honest, the relationship is quite significant. If Japan really starts a rate hike cycle, the entire crypto market may have to prepare for a winter.
Why do you say that? Three key points:
**First, the cheapest money in the world is going to disappear** In the past decade, the Japanese yen interest rate has been close to zero, and a large amount of capital has been borrowed in yen to speculate on global assets—U.S. stocks, real estate, and of course, including crypto world. With Japan's interest rate hike, this cheap capital needs to be repaid, which is equivalent to draining blood from the global market.
**Second, once the carry trade shrinks, risk assets will cool down** Many people may not know that behind many surging markets, there is often Japanese yen carry trade funding playing a role. When the funds withdraw, the hot money disappears, and the market naturally cools down, even turning directly to decline.
**Third, Japan is the second largest bond market in the world and the largest overseas investment exporter.** As soon as they slightly tighten external investment, global liquidity becomes immediately tight; is it difficult to maintain asset prices? Yes.
In short, if Japan really starts raising interest rates, whether the crypto world can withstand this wave of market changes is a big question mark😀😀
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airdrop_huntress
· 11h ago
Wow, I really hadn't thought that deeply about the yen issue before. It turns out that when the trap funds are pulled apart like this, we have to eat dirt too.
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SatoshiSherpa
· 11h ago
Wow, can Japan's interest rate hike really press the crypto world down to the ground? It does look dangerous.
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WalletDetective
· 11h ago
Japan's interest rate hike cannot be taken lightly; once the carry trade funds are withdrawn, the crypto world will lose its vitality.
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Another prelude to being played for suckers; without the cheap yen funds, how long can the coin prices hold up?
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Wait, does this mean that the previous wave of increases was all backed by borrowed yen? This operation is a bit ridiculous.
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Once liquidity tightens, I should close all positions; history will repeat itself.
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No wonder the market feels sluggish lately; it turns out funds are really flowing back.
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So those who still dare to hold heavy positions now are quite bold; I’m just taking a short position to watch the show.
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Japan's interest rate hike = global blood extraction; what can the crypto world withstand? This logic is clear.
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The key is that once the carry trade funds are pulled out, the market data changes in an instant, and the terror of no one catching a falling knife comes.
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OnlyUpOnly
· 11h ago
Wow, now I understand, Japan's interest rate hike can really kill the whole market.
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GasFeeTherapist
· 11h ago
Wow, I really hadn't thought this deeply about interest rate arbitrage before. Japan really is making moves; the crypto world is indeed precarious.
Recently, everyone in the square is talking about Japan's interest rate hike, and a bunch of people in the comments are asking: what does this have to do with the crypto world?
To be honest, the relationship is quite significant. If Japan really starts a rate hike cycle, the entire crypto market may have to prepare for a winter.
Why do you say that? Three key points:
**First, the cheapest money in the world is going to disappear**
In the past decade, the Japanese yen interest rate has been close to zero, and a large amount of capital has been borrowed in yen to speculate on global assets—U.S. stocks, real estate, and of course, including crypto world. With Japan's interest rate hike, this cheap capital needs to be repaid, which is equivalent to draining blood from the global market.
**Second, once the carry trade shrinks, risk assets will cool down**
Many people may not know that behind many surging markets, there is often Japanese yen carry trade funding playing a role. When the funds withdraw, the hot money disappears, and the market naturally cools down, even turning directly to decline.
**Third, Japan is the second largest bond market in the world and the largest overseas investment exporter.**
As soon as they slightly tighten external investment, global liquidity becomes immediately tight; is it difficult to maintain asset prices? Yes.
In short, if Japan really starts raising interest rates, whether the crypto world can withstand this wave of market changes is a big question mark😀😀