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Don't remind me again today

Recently noticed an interesting signal - the madness of the AI zone may be coming to an end.



The research report released by Zhongjingang mentioned how fervent everyone's pursuit of AI was during the third quarter of last year. The crowding was at its peak. But now, after the high in September, it has clearly loosened, and trading activity has dropped to a relatively low level. In simple terms: those who should have run have run, those who should be observing are observing, and the short-term risk of a stampede has basically been completely released.

Does this mean it's time to buy the dip? Not exactly.

From a long-term perspective, the ceiling for AI in this sector is high, the technology continues to advance, and the application scenarios are expanding. China International Capital Corporation (CICC) hasn't changed this judgment. However, the short-term situation is a bit subtle—models show that the current market prefers value stocks. As the year-end approaches, institutions are managing their risk exposures, and funds are naturally flowing towards defensive assets. We are currently experiencing a style switch between high growth and low valuation.

So the strategy has to be a bit twisted: keep an eye on AI for the long term without letting go, and also leave some room for the value zone in the short term. Don’t throw away all your chips just because of short-term fluctuations, but also don’t stubbornly cling to growth stocks. The market's rhythm has changed, and you need to adjust accordingly.

In short, the story of AI is far from over; it’s just not the right time to chase highs now. A cooling-off period is often a good time to lay out your plans—provided you can tell what a pullback is and what a reversal is. At this position, it’s at least less crowded now.
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SerumSurfervip
· 13h ago
CICC's analysis really hits the nail on the head; when the crowding is at its peak, it's time to be alert, and the current loosening is actually a signal. --- AI has no problems in the long term, but in the short term, one has to admit defeat; you can't escape the style switch. --- To be honest, those who chased the price have all been trapped; the calm period is the real opportunity, and it's crucial to distinguish between what a pullback is and what a trend reversal is. --- At the end of the year, everyone wants to live with low risk; even if AI is hot, it still has to make way for value stocks, which is very realistic. --- Don't be so single-minded; mix some AI in for the long term, and for the short term, there must be defense; surviving to wait for next year is the real win. --- The decrease in crowding from high to low indicates that those who should have run have already run; those entering the market now are quite courageous. --- I agree with this statement that it's not the time to buy the dip, but don't completely withdraw; there is still room for speculation. --- I've heard the phrase about layout during the calm period too many times; the question is, can you really distinguish? --- The AI story is not over; it's just that those chasing now are all dumb buyers.
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WhaleSurfervip
· 13h ago
When the congestion was at its peak, it should have been time to run away. Now saying to lay out during the calm period, just take it as hearsay. It’s useless to have a high ceiling in the track; institutions are all on the defense. Chasing the price is just catching a falling knife. Holding long term and maneuvering short term sounds easy, but when it comes to actual operation, one can still get smashed and confused. This position has indeed loosened, but to truly buy the dip, one still needs to wait a bit longer; don’t rush. AI seems never-ending, but this rhythm at the end of the year is really not suitable for random moves.
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GasFeeCryvip
· 13h ago
Wow, finally someone said it. I've felt that this round of AI hype is a bit crazy for a long time. Wait, value stocks are rising? Should I change my mindset about my AI holdings? This wave has indeed loosened up, but I don't know if it's a real bottom or a fake bottom, it's a bit hard to judge.
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consensus_whisperervip
· 13h ago
The congestion has pumped up to the point where it is now loosening, indicating that those who needed to exit have already done so, and now entering the market requires waiting for a more comfortable position.
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