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From the annual line level, gold has pumped 50% this year, which is indeed a significant rise. However, according to historical patterns, the possibility of a pullback next year is quite high. Personally, I estimate that the fall may be between 20% to 30%.



My plan of action is as follows: If the gold price reaches the range of 950-1000 in December, I am preparing to take profits in batches. Then I will patiently wait until next year; if it truly falls below 850, I will gradually buy back. Of course, this is just my personal opinion, and the market changes quickly, so adjustments must be made based on actual trends.

#美联储恢复降息进程 has recently been influenced by interest rate cut expectations, and you can pay attention to the correlation.
BTC7.08%
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RetroHodler91vip
· 14h ago
A 50% rise is indeed exaggerated, but I don't really believe it can fall to 850 next year... This historical repetition is too unreliable in encryption and precious metals. This wave of gold prices is tightly bound to Fed policy, and the space for a fall is not as large as you think.
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GateUser-e51e87c7vip
· 12-01 01:50
Gold has risen so sharply this year, and it's normal for it to fall back next year. The only concern is the take profit point might not be accurate. We really need to keep an eye on the correlation with BTC; once the interest rate cut expectations change, it will all be over.
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failed_dev_successful_apevip
· 12-01 01:49
A 50% rise in gold is really impressive, but your prediction for this pullback is a bit conservative. Historically, after a rebound, it often falls even harder. Starting to take profit when it hits 950 is a solid strategy, but it depends on how the Fed plays it. The correlation with BTC is indeed worth paying attention to; once the interest rate cut expectations change, anything can crash.
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gas_fee_therapyvip
· 12-01 01:45
This year's gold market is really fierce, a 50% rise is a bit outrageous... But this guy is right, history repeats itself, and next year it is highly likely to drop some Wait, can we really wait for it below 850? It feels like the market isn't cooperating that much BTC is also following the trend, this wave of interest rate cut expectations has indeed stirred everything up.
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LiquiditySurfervip
· 12-01 01:41
Gold is rising so fiercely, it feels a bit crazy haha --- Running away at 950 to 1000, this operation is still stable --- If it really falls by 30% next year, then it will be a good time to enter a position --- Driven by interest rate cut expectations, it will be over once the policy turns --- Buying back at the 850 bottom, easy to say but hard to do, is your mental preparation in place? --- The correlation between gold and Bitcoin is becoming more and more obvious, this observation is good --- Taking a 50% gain and walking away, not greedy, not losing, it’s that simple --- This thing about historical patterns... when has the market ever played by the rules? --- December's node is quite tight, taking profit at the end of the year is stable
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DegenTherapistvip
· 12-01 01:29
Gold has indeed been crazy this time, but I don't really believe it will fall that deep at 850. Wait a minute, your logic is exactly the same as last year's people. The correlation of Bitcoin does need to be followed, but it's still too early to say what next year will be like. Taking profit at 950 to 1000 sounds good, just afraid you might regret it. Once the interest rate cut expectations are over, it should be gold's turn for a real pullback.
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RatioHuntervip
· 12-01 01:24
The gold price has indeed been fierce this time, but historically, a fall is inevitable. I feel like your take profit point is still a bit tight. However, to be honest, there are still many people chasing the price now, and few are getting out of positions. With such strong expectations for interest rate cuts, the correlation between BTC and gold really needs to be monitored closely. This wave of the cycle feels quite interesting. I plan to enter a position when the adjustment happens next year; the risk will be much lower... Right now, it feels like I'm a bit late to the game. This judgment of a two to three percent fall feels a bit optimistic. I suspect it might go deeper.
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