#数字资产市场观察 Morning outlook

The current price is around 2990, to be honest, the trend is a bit awkward.

First, let's look at the 4-hour level: the price is pressed below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and cannot rise above it. The MACD has already crossed bearish, and the bars are turning green, which makes this quite clear—short-term bulls are taking a break, and bears are beginning to take control of the rhythm. The Bollinger Bands channel is narrowing, and the one-sided rally has temporarily come to a halt; what follows may be a high-level grinding fluctuation.

When DIF crosses below DEA, it basically signals: the upward momentum is exhausted, and the risk of a pullback is brewing.

What should we do?

I tend to operate this way:

If it rebounds to the range of 3010-3040, consider opening a light short position, targeting 2970 to 2920, with a stop loss set just above 3040. As long as risk is controlled, it will be fine.

What if it really falls to around 2970? You can try going long, aiming for 3000-3020, with a stop loss below 2950.

In short, now is not the time to chase after more; be patient and wait for the structure to give a signal.