Track the real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Monday, December 1, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, fellow crypto friends ☀ Daily attendance for loyal fans 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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Today is the first day of December 2025. Looking back at the cryptocurrency market in November, it can be said to be the most brutal month of the year. The entire market basically continued the downward trend since the epic collapse in October. Even if there were rebounds, they were fleeting and weak. Each crash and rebound was shrouded in news and uncertainties, with intense washout actions, leaving the market in disarray. Bitcoin dipped to a low of around 79937, while Ethereum touched a low of around 2621. Last week, the market shifted to a rebound and repair phase, but the struggle between bulls and bears was fierce and fluctuating. The current oscillating pattern continues with unclear direction, but signs of bear market initiation have emerged, showing weakness on the chart. With the interest rate cut window in December approaching, the market is likely to experience slight washouts before policy implementation, obscuring the subsequent trend through fluctuations. This volatility is essentially a struggle between bulls and bears over policy expectations. In terms of operation, it is recommended to adapt to the oscillating pattern with short-term trading, making quick entries and exits based on range fluctuations, while strictly setting take-profit and stop-loss levels to avoid false breakout risks. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's monthly line has consecutively closed down after breaking through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and has rebounded back to the track. However, the previous waterfall decline has thoroughly opened up the downside space, and the middle track support has already been broken. The short-term repair market is gradually nearing its end, with the continuity of subsequent downward trends significantly enhanced. The bearish trend will continue. In terms of layout strategy, the strategy of shorting on rebounds can continue to be applied.

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According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 87.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 12.6%. The cumulative probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year is 67.5%, with a probability of keeping rates unchanged at 9.2%, and a cumulative probability of cutting rates by 50 basis points at 23.2%. Pay attention to Yibo as we will continue to track the implementation of Federal Reserve policies, institutional capital flows, on-chain data changes, and other core signals, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target dynamics.