This Cycle Has Done the Opposite, Says Analyst

Analyst argues the four-year cycle is “dead,” calling the current market a maturation phase with unpredictable chart behavior.

Total Three holds its long-term uptrend; a breakout above ~$1.2T could lead to strong altcoin momentum despite falling BTC dominance.

CryptoRank data shows cooling markets with BTC at $91K, ETH at $3K, rising liquidations, and a Fear & Greed Index of 25.

Crypto analyst Lark Davis described the current market cycle as the opposite of prior expectations during comments shared this week, noting that the traditional four-year structure may no longer apply

His remarks surfaced as major assets traded above key levels, while updated market data from CryptoRank on the same day showed mixed movements across large and small caps. The comments followed Bitcoin’s decline toward the 50-week EMA, which he said added pressure to sentiment.

Davis Points to Asset Maturation Cycle

Davis said the present cycle differs sharply from past patterns. He argued that the four-year model may be “dead” and suggested that the market now reflects an asset maturation phase

He described recent chart behavior as “psychedelic” and noted that the correction unsettled many holders. However, he pointed out that Bitcoin closing into the 50-week EMA or SMA typically marks the start of a deeper decline, although expectations in this cycle have repeatedly shifted.

Total Three Chart and Changing Dominance

He highlighted that Total Three, which tracks altcoins excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, continues to hold its long-term uptrend despite the downturn. Davis stated that the chart now sits at the lower end of its triangle formation

He said a move above roughly $1.2 trillion could trigger a strong reaction. He also noted that Bitcoin dominance has fallen sharply. According to him, an ideal setup would involve Bitcoin rising while dominance keeps dropping, influenced by ETF flows and continued accumulation.

CryptoRank Data Shows Cooling Market

CryptoRank reported slight cooling after the latest bounce. Bitcoin traded at $91,020, down 0.4 percent, while Ethereum sat at $3,006, down 0.8 percent. Major altcoin losers included M at minus 10 percent and KAS at minus 8 percent

The platform cited a total market cap of $3.27 trillion and $134 million in liquidations. It recorded a Fear and Greed Index reading of 25 and an Alt Index score of 19 out of 100. CryptoRank also noted that CME halted futures trading due to a cooling failure at its data center. It added that Kalshi faced a class-action suit alleging operation of an illegal sports betting platform. It further reported that Ethereum’s gas limit increased from 45 million to 60 million.

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