Let's consider someone who bought AVAX; I chose AVAX as an example of projects referred to as major and safe havens. Someone who bought AVAX for 10 dollars in 2022, meaning they invested 100,000 dollars in AVAX, has currently made only 50,000 dollars profit based on the current price of 15 dollars. However, while gold has risen by 500 percent over 3 years, the person who invested in AVAX is at a loss of 450 percent compared to gold. The real estate market has increased by around 300 percent. If someone who invested 100,000 dollars in AVAX had instead bought 1 or 2 houses, their total value today would be around 300,000 dollars. I'm not even considering the real erosion of our money due to minimum wage, inflation, and the rise in market prices.
If we were to give examples of HOLO, MATIC, CHZ, or other projects instead of AVAX, the loss would have been much higher. In other words, the investor has lost much more money over time compared to gold, dollars, ounces of gold, the housing market, the car market, and the land market, from the money they invested at the bottom of the 2022 bear season. I don't even count the rally in the American market. If people had invested in any stock in the American stock market instead of crypto during the bear season in 2022, they would have gained much more.
At the point we have arrived, at the bottom of the 2022 season, someone who invested 1 million TL and bought AVAX at 10 dollars could obtain approximately 5,333 AVAX. Today, we see that the TL value of this amount is only 3 million 300 thousand TL. However, compared to gold, this 1 million TL should be approximately 5 million TL today. Although AVAX is at 15 dollars, a person who invested 1 million TL will only earn 22 million TL even if AVAX rises to 100 dollars. If this market is a risky market and we took this risk to enter, then a person who invested 1 million TL should earn at least 20 million TL with AVAX compared to gold, so that we can say "yes, this market is risky, but it is worth the risk." Yes, this market is risky; we have seen collapses, we have gone through painful processes, but the fruit should also be sweet for this process to make sense.
Otherwise, if they only make 5-10x from the bottom of the 2022 bear season at the peak of 50 dollars for AVAX or during the upcoming rise and end the rally, this movement will not benefit anyone. The profit will remain very low compared to the risk taken, so this rise will only serve as inflation protection; instead of making a profit, we would only have preserved our money. However, this market was risky, and there should have been high returns for the risk taken. If the gains from the spring that follows the painful processes and bad days are not much higher, this market will lose its meaning.
Therefore, the upcoming rise must be strong. An altcoin season must be experienced for the continuity of the system. For the continuity of the system, this market must rise much more compared to gold, the housing market, inflation, dollar/TL, the car market, and safe havens. The suffering endured, the effort put in, and the patience should be rewarded in this way. Otherwise, faith in the system will completely vanish.
At this point, I do not think that they will only allow us to experience a rise between September 2023 and February 2024, and a mini rise between September and November 2024, before pushing us into a bear market, since such a move would completely destroy confidence in the system and its continuity.
I don't think they will end this system like this. This system has incredible funding, incredible cash flow, institutional firms, and whales. The upcoming rise must definitely come. We will all see that the upcoming altcoin season will not just be a period where only newcomers make money, and that newcomers think making money in this market is very easy, those at a loss will cover their losses, and even those who are heavily at a loss will suddenly regain hope.
I see that psychologically people no longer have hope and that their faith in the system has seriously weakened. I also see that people feel deep down that this system is a gamble and a swamp.
But actually, we will all see that this is a trap and that the upcoming rise will be very sharp, as the bears and opened shorts burst one by one. No one will believe in the upcoming rise. The rise will be so sharp that newcomers will think, "yes, it is really easy to make money in this market." Those who are in loss will see that the pains they experienced in the past have been erased in an instant, and their hopes have returned very quickly. We will all witness how those who did not believe in the bull suddenly become bullish, and those who drew bears suddenly start drawing bulls.
The upcoming rise will make those who have been saying since November 2024 "I wish we had opened a short, I wish we had traded in the short term" say the exact opposite. It will make them say, "I wish we had stayed in the long term, I wish we had held in spot, I wish we hadn’t opened futures, I wish we hadn’t entered short." They will completely feel the opposite of the thought that assets do not move in this market, that this market is a swamp, and that spot cannot be held here. This is essential for the continuity of the system.
Otherwise, faith in the system will completely vanish. This scenario works perfectly for the market maker. There must be a rise for the system to continue. There must be a rise for the money of those who have been shorting since 2024 to be reclaimed. As the market goes up, all positions of those who shorted and made money will be returned. The market must show an upward trend so that short-term traders sell at the slightest rise; as they sell, the market will rise further, and as it rises, they will sell even more, causing investors to say, "I wish I had stayed in for the long term." This, again, benefits the market maker.
The market maker game was set up completely planned and disciplined, and he played with an incredible mastery of psychology. There must be a rise so that the same victimizations are experienced again in the next bear season. There must be a rise so that the asset is sold in FOMO; not in fear. At the peak of greed, we will all see that the bear has begun. There must be a rise so that it is understood again that this market is risky but its profits are sweet compared to gold, the housing market, and inflation, and that the continuity of the system is ensured.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Let's consider someone who bought AVAX; I chose AVAX as an example of projects referred to as major and safe havens. Someone who bought AVAX for 10 dollars in 2022, meaning they invested 100,000 dollars in AVAX, has currently made only 50,000 dollars profit based on the current price of 15 dollars. However, while gold has risen by 500 percent over 3 years, the person who invested in AVAX is at a loss of 450 percent compared to gold. The real estate market has increased by around 300 percent. If someone who invested 100,000 dollars in AVAX had instead bought 1 or 2 houses, their total value today would be around 300,000 dollars. I'm not even considering the real erosion of our money due to minimum wage, inflation, and the rise in market prices.
If we were to give examples of HOLO, MATIC, CHZ, or other projects instead of AVAX, the loss would have been much higher. In other words, the investor has lost much more money over time compared to gold, dollars, ounces of gold, the housing market, the car market, and the land market, from the money they invested at the bottom of the 2022 bear season. I don't even count the rally in the American market. If people had invested in any stock in the American stock market instead of crypto during the bear season in 2022, they would have gained much more.
At the point we have arrived, at the bottom of the 2022 season, someone who invested 1 million TL and bought AVAX at 10 dollars could obtain approximately 5,333 AVAX. Today, we see that the TL value of this amount is only 3 million 300 thousand TL. However, compared to gold, this 1 million TL should be approximately 5 million TL today. Although AVAX is at 15 dollars, a person who invested 1 million TL will only earn 22 million TL even if AVAX rises to 100 dollars. If this market is a risky market and we took this risk to enter, then a person who invested 1 million TL should earn at least 20 million TL with AVAX compared to gold, so that we can say "yes, this market is risky, but it is worth the risk." Yes, this market is risky; we have seen collapses, we have gone through painful processes, but the fruit should also be sweet for this process to make sense.
Otherwise, if they only make 5-10x from the bottom of the 2022 bear season at the peak of 50 dollars for AVAX or during the upcoming rise and end the rally, this movement will not benefit anyone. The profit will remain very low compared to the risk taken, so this rise will only serve as inflation protection; instead of making a profit, we would only have preserved our money. However, this market was risky, and there should have been high returns for the risk taken. If the gains from the spring that follows the painful processes and bad days are not much higher, this market will lose its meaning.
Therefore, the upcoming rise must be strong. An altcoin season must be experienced for the continuity of the system. For the continuity of the system, this market must rise much more compared to gold, the housing market, inflation, dollar/TL, the car market, and safe havens. The suffering endured, the effort put in, and the patience should be rewarded in this way. Otherwise, faith in the system will completely vanish.
At this point, I do not think that they will only allow us to experience a rise between September 2023 and February 2024, and a mini rise between September and November 2024, before pushing us into a bear market, since such a move would completely destroy confidence in the system and its continuity.
I don't think they will end this system like this. This system has incredible funding, incredible cash flow, institutional firms, and whales. The upcoming rise must definitely come. We will all see that the upcoming altcoin season will not just be a period where only newcomers make money, and that newcomers think making money in this market is very easy, those at a loss will cover their losses, and even those who are heavily at a loss will suddenly regain hope.
I see that psychologically people no longer have hope and that their faith in the system has seriously weakened. I also see that people feel deep down that this system is a gamble and a swamp.
But actually, we will all see that this is a trap and that the upcoming rise will be very sharp, as the bears and opened shorts burst one by one. No one will believe in the upcoming rise. The rise will be so sharp that newcomers will think, "yes, it is really easy to make money in this market." Those who are in loss will see that the pains they experienced in the past have been erased in an instant, and their hopes have returned very quickly. We will all witness how those who did not believe in the bull suddenly become bullish, and those who drew bears suddenly start drawing bulls.
The upcoming rise will make those who have been saying since November 2024 "I wish we had opened a short, I wish we had traded in the short term" say the exact opposite. It will make them say, "I wish we had stayed in the long term, I wish we had held in spot, I wish we hadn’t opened futures, I wish we hadn’t entered short." They will completely feel the opposite of the thought that assets do not move in this market, that this market is a swamp, and that spot cannot be held here. This is essential for the continuity of the system.
Otherwise, faith in the system will completely vanish. This scenario works perfectly for the market maker. There must be a rise for the system to continue. There must be a rise for the money of those who have been shorting since 2024 to be reclaimed. As the market goes up, all positions of those who shorted and made money will be returned. The market must show an upward trend so that short-term traders sell at the slightest rise; as they sell, the market will rise further, and as it rises, they will sell even more, causing investors to say, "I wish I had stayed in for the long term." This, again, benefits the market maker.
The market maker game was set up completely planned and disciplined, and he played with an incredible mastery of psychology. There must be a rise so that the same victimizations are experienced again in the next bear season. There must be a rise so that the asset is sold in FOMO; not in fear. At the peak of greed, we will all see that the bear has begun. There must be a rise so that it is understood again that this market is risky but its profits are sweet compared to gold, the housing market, and inflation, and that the continuity of the system is ensured.
sincerely...