2025-10-07 13:58:42

Generational wealth in @Polymarket and @Lighter_xyz ?

Currently trading at $100 per lighter point OTC. Adjusted from the valuation from Delphi, current Lighter FDV = $4.16B (8 weeks or points)

And the FDV is likely to be more than 4B because our above model is assuming a 25% airdrop. I think betting FDV >4B on Polymarket could be a easy win.

Uncertainty here is if Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31,, this market will resolve to "No."

What we can do here is doing a hedging:
1. Buy $100 >2B - NO
2. Buy $100 >4B - YES

Easy money

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