Makro Trendler

The article proposes three pathways for market recovery in 2026: institutions expanding Solana/XRP ETF investment ranges, wealth spillover from mainstream assets, and retail investors rotating back from AI/stock markets to crypto, strategically analyzing the key to liquidity diffusion.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating at lower levels, with downside pressure easing but the broader trend yet to be confirmed. Capital is rotating toward lower-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays, while on-chain data shows continued accumulation by whales and sentiment remains in the extreme fear zone. Ondo has introduced tokenized equities and ETFs to Solana, further expanding RWA and on-chain securities use cases. Solayer launched a $35 million ecosystem fund focused on high-performance on-chain applications. Vitalik Buterin proposed a native DVT design to enhance decentralization in Ethereum staking. BGB, H, and MBG are set to see sizable token unlocks over the next seven days.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 21, the crypto market continued to pull back and consolidate, with risk appetite cooling notably. BTC and ETH came under simultaneous pressure: BTC fell back to around USD 89,000 after breaking below its short-term moving average structure, while ETH saw a relatively larger decline and remains in a weak recovery phase, with major assets dragging on the overall index. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as AIA, MBG, and ARC moved against the trend, supported by narratives around AI agents, on-chain integration of traditional finance, and developer tools, highlighting clear structural divergence. From a structural perspective, Ethereum staking demand continued to improve, with unstaking pressure fading and the staked ratio approaching 30%; meanwhile, Solana’s staking ratio climbed to a record high of 68.8%, indicating that parts of the public-chain ecosystem are still attracting long-term capital. However, whether the broader market can stabilize will stil

Why did Coinbase pull its support for the CLARITY Act at such a pivotal time? This article explores how the ban on stablecoin yields poses a threat to Coinbase's main sources of revenue and breaks down the industry's contrasting approaches to balancing regulatory clarity with space for innovation.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin encountered resistance near USD 97,500, while Ethereum has been trading within a range between its key support level and the USD 3,300–3,400 resistance zone. ROSE surged 34.35% over the past 24 hours, driven by accelerating capital inflows into the high-beta “privacy + AI” narrative. ARPA rose more than 51%, with the rally largely reflecting shifts in market sentiment as 24-hour trading volume expanded sharply to USD 320 million. Alpha Edge Media, a subsidiary of Aether Holdings, has acquired the institutional-grade crypto communications and media platform Coinstack. To break out of its current malaise, the crypto market may require an expansion of ETF investment mandates, with leading assets rallying to draw retail attention back. The STH-NUPL indicator shows that new investors have remained in net unrealized losses since November 2025.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 19, after a period of high-level consolidation, the crypto market saw a broad deleveraging pullback: BTC and ETH weakened in tandem, losses in altcoins widened, and risk appetite contracted quickly. The Fear & Greed Index slid from 49 to 44, with sentiment shifting from neutral toward fear, while spot gold continued to climb—signaling rising demand for safe havens. Among notable movers, DUSK rallied sharply on its mainnet rollout and expectations around RWA-related partnerships; NAM posted violent swings amid thin liquidity and a technical breakout; and FRAX drew inflows on the back of its rebrand and broader ecosystem expansion. Today’s alpha highlights included a structural signal from Ethereum staking—its entry queue reaching the highest level since August 2023 while the exit queue fell to zero—alongside a renewed debate between Ethereum and Solana over “ossification vs. evolution,” and growing attention to supply-chain style security risks tied to IDE auto-execution

Gate Research Daily Report:On January 16, BTC entered a corrective consolidation phase after surging to around $97,900 and is now oscillating in the $95,000–$95,500 range; ETH moved into a high-level consolidation after hitting a peak near $3,403, with prices fluctuating narrowly between $3,280 and $3,320; GT shifted into range-bound consolidation after a prior rally to 10.83; and OWL led small-cap tokens with a +57.75% gain. XRP broke below the $2.10 level, with technical selling pressure dominating the short-term trend; BitMine said its $13 billion ETH holdings could generate over $400 million in annual revenue and expressed confidence that its investment in MrBeast could deliver a “10x” return; and Ripple injected $150 million into LMAX to push the RLUSD stablecoin into institutional trading infrastructure.

Gate Research Weekly Report: Bitcoin has reclaimed the $96,000 level, while Ethereum has broken through the $3,300 resistance and continues to consolidate at elevated levels. The Zcash Foundation announced that the SEC has concluded its multi-year investigation without taking enforcement action; meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials collectively defended policy independence while signaling a pause in rate cuts.As both Bitcoin and Ethereum broke higher, nearly $700 million in short positions were liquidated. Vitalik Buterin highlighted structural flaws in decentralized stablecoins, while renewed attention was drawn to Zcash-related developments and potential quantum threats. Metaplanet is now just one step away from resuming equity financing to purchase Bitcoin. ONDO, TRUMP, and ZRO are set to unlock approximately $778 million, $278 million, and $42.42 million worth of tokens, respectively, over the next seven days.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 14, the crypto market posted broad gains as macro sentiment improved. Bitcoin surged before consolidating at elevated levels, while Ethereum outperformed and held around the $3,300 area. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index rebounded sharply from 26 yesterday to 48, signaling renewed risk appetite and a rotation toward higher-beta assets, while gold continued to climb. Among notable movers, BOT spiked on AI trading-tool narratives and speculative inflows; MFER rose alongside a meme-sector rebound; and ARRR drew attention amid a revival in privacy narratives. In this edition’s Alpha takeaways, we highlight Gate’s expanded TradFi derivatives offering with CFD access to a wider range of traditional assets, Wintermute’s three potential catalysts for a 2026 altcoin rebound, and Polygon Labs’ $250M+ acquisition of Coinme and Sequence to accelerate the rollout of its compliant stablecoin payments “open stack.”

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin is showing a short-term range-bound upward trend, while Ethereum continues to hold firmly above $3,000, with its overall uptrend still intact. Driven by WLFI’s launch of a lending market powered by Dolomite, DOLO surged over 55%; Dusk rose more than 28% on positive momentum from the DuskDS Layer-1 upgrade; and DASH climbed about 18% following an oversold-driven rebound. The amount of ETH queued to join the Ethereum PoS network has risen to 2.17 million, reflecting strong market confidence in Ethereum’s long-term staking yields and network security. The current period represents a critical window for the passage of the Clarity Act, as failure to reach consensus could increase the risk of delays or outright failure.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 12, the crypto market continued its low-level recovery, showing a mild rebound while overall risk appetite remained cautious. BTC stabilized and reclaimed its short-term moving averages, signaling a partial repair in short-term structure, though upside momentum is still constrained by overhead resistance. ETH remained relatively resilient, maintaining a low-volatility recovery pattern and reflecting its role as a more defensive allocation within the market. On the thematic side, XCN, ARC, and VVV outperformed, driven by narratives around DeFi governance, AI agent tooling, and privacy-focused inference applications. From a structural perspective, the recent pullback in Bitcoin mining difficulty has eased pressure on the mining sector, while Ethereum recorded nearly USD 50 billion in net inflows over the past year, underscoring continued long-term capital accumulation in core assets amid market consolidation. However, the sustainability of the rebound will likely depend on

In December 2025, on-chain activity across public blockchains slowed and structural divergence deepened. Solana and Ethereum remained at the core of the ecosystem, while internal differentiation within Layer2 networks became more pronounced, as the market shifted from narrative-driven positioning toward efficiency and real-use-case selection. For Bitcoin, an assessment of cost basis distribution, unrealized loss supply, and holder structure indicates that the market is undergoing a cyclical pullback and rebalancing phase within a broader bull trend. While short-term pressure persists, long-term holders remain largely stable; if key cost support levels hold, prices may gradually recover following a period of consolidation. At the project level, trading volume in the BSC prediction-market sector continued to expand, but liquidity remained highly concentrated in Opinion, with newer platforms still in early validation stages. At the token level, $BEAT recorded a peak gain of nearly 300% during the period, driven

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 9, BTC first extended its previous rally and surged rapidly, forming a short-term peak near 94,800 USDT. ETH also continued its earlier uptrend and pushed higher, topping out around 3,308 USDT, before bullish momentum weakened significantly and prices retreated from the highs, gradually developing into a relatively smooth downward move. Meanwhile, ISLM became the market’s standout performer with a gain of over 460%. On the macro and industry front, JPMorgan is accelerating its blockchain strategy and plans to build a “regulated, interoperable digital money” system. Hilbert Group announced the acquisition of Enigma Nordic for $25 million, further strengthening its institutional-grade crypto trading presence. In addition, a company linked to Tether executives drew market attention after acquiring Northern Data’s bitcoin mining business.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH remain in a consolidation and recovery phase, with no confirmed trend reversal, while capital continues to rotate toward low-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays. Aave Horizon’s RWA market has surpassed $600 million in net deposits, signaling sustained institutional participation. Tokenized stocks have exceeded $1 billion in assets under management, underscoring the accelerating expansion of on-chain securities. Nike has sold RTFKT, marking a phase-end unwind of its Web3 initiatives. Polymarket has introduced real estate prediction markets, further extending coverage into real-economy variables. Meanwhile, CONX, APT, and STRK are set to unlock approximately $25.23 million, $21.26 million, and $11.10 million in tokens, respectively, over the next seven days.

Fidelity unveiled its 2026 Crypto Market Outlook, delivering a comprehensive analysis of the continued relevance of Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, the implications of government and corporate adoption of crypto reserves, and an evaluation of whether the current market pullback signals the end of the bull run or represents a mid-cycle adjustment. The report equips both long-term and short-term investors with a clear framework for assessing market cycles and optimizing portfolio allocation.