Breaking news stirs the market! Trump reveals that the Fed chair nominee will be announced soon, and the crypto market instantly plunges into fervent discussion. Long positions cheer with favourable information, while short positions stand ready, but the real game rules are far more complex than they appear.
The Fed chairman controls the liquidity gate of the US dollar, and his policy stance directly affects the flow of global capital. Although the crypto market claims to be decentralized, it is still deeply constrained by traditional finance. If the new chairman leans towards easing (as the market speculates about Hassett), the funding situation may improve; if a hawkish figure takes office, short-term pressure is inevitable.
But there is a key point that has been overlooked: **uncertainty itself is the biggest source of volatility**. Trump is skilled in information warfare, and before the candidates are officially announced, the market relies entirely on expected speculation. Looking back at history, during each period of ambiguity regarding high-level personnel changes, the volatility often exceeds the actual impact after the policies are implemented. Smart money has already laid out its plans during the rumor stage, and when the news breaks in real time, the following orders instead become the opposing orders.
How should retail investors respond? Panic is meaningless. At this stage, the key is to establish a dynamic strategy:
- If the new chairman is dovish, mainstream currencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum) may welcome a rebound window.
- If it is偏鹰派, a short-term pullback instead provides a low buying opportunity.
When the market is chaotic, emotions are the biggest enemy. Large funds use news to harvest profits, while retail investors need to remain calmly contrarian: set clear stop-loss points, control positions, and test with small amounts. Do not blindly chase rises or panic sell; only then can one stand firm amidst the fluctuations.
Opportunities always belong to those who are prepared. Keep a close eye on on-chain data and wait for clear signals; this is the correct way to ride out the storm.