Can you profit from war news? It seems that some investors managed to do so after betting around $950 million on falling oil prices just hours before the announcement of a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, in one of the most prominent deals in the energy market.

Data from the London Stock Exchange Group, reported by the Exchange Agency, showed that investors sold about 8,600 oil futures contracts—for Brent crude and US crude—just about three hours before the ceasefire was announced.

Quick move… and big profits

After that, President Trump announced a ceasefire for two weeks, which pushed oil futures prices down by about 15%, dropping to below $100 per barrel at the start of the trading session.

This sharp drop enabled investors to make large profits from their early bets, in a move that reflects the ability of some traders to get ahead of market moves.

Huge but rare bets

Although taking positions on rising or falling oil prices is common in markets—especially for hedging purposes—executing trades of this size in a short time is relatively rare.

Traders typically resort to distributing their orders across multiple exchanges and using algorithmic trading to execute them gradually, with the aim of avoiding a direct impact on prices.

A similar precedent

This bet comes after a similar move on March 23, when investors sold oil futures worth $500 million just about 15 minutes before the announcement of delaying attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure, which also led to prices falling by about 15%.

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