2026-04-09 22:10:00

This is my analysis of BTC price and tonight’s 8:30 CPI data:

CPI scenario projection: Scenario Probability Price reaction Rebound high point
CPI above expectations 60% Drop first then rebound, or a direct drop 72,500-73,000
CPI in line with expectations 30% Rally first then pull back 73,000-73,500
CPI below expectations 10% Spike then pull back 73,500-74,500
The core conclusion remains unchanged: 74,500 is a hard cap. 72,500-73,000 has become a strong resistance zone. No matter the CPI outcome, a pulse-style run-up followed by a pullback is highly likely.

BTC1.66%

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