The probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 on Polymarket has dropped to 36%

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-16T16:46:10+00:00

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 on Polymarket has dropped to 36%, down 43% this month. This probability had reached a peak of above 75% in early March before declining sharply.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-16 16:46:10

Odaily Seer Insight Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket predicting a ceasefire between the US and Iran before April 30 has dropped to 36%, a 43% decrease this month. This probability peaked at over 75% in early March and then declined sharply.

Odaily Seer Insight Channel continues to monitor prediction markets and notices changes before they are priced in.

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