Deep water game, a world of its own

Since joining Taogu Ba, I initially intended to use a pen as a blade and stocks as a mirror to record the ups and downs and the pulse of my trading journey. I did not expect to receive such warm support from fellow investors; every encouragement is like a warm tonic, dispelling the confusion of short-term battles. Every attention is like a conduit, strengthening my resolve to refine my system. [Taogu Ba]

Xiaoyou deeply understands that short-term trading is like traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis—requiring the observation of “illness” and the differentiation of “Yin and Yang” amidst market fluctuations. Growth is not a solo journey—your recognition is the most precious “medicine guide” in my review logs, giving this methodology, based on TCM thinking to analyze the stock market, a more vibrant practical soil.

In the days ahead, I will continue to adhere to my “Four Diagnostics”: observing the market, listening to capital flows, questioning the logic, and cutting through buy and sell signals. I will truthfully record each diagnostic process, gains and losses, and hope to use stocks as a medium to exchange insights, verify ideas, and explore profitable paths with you all.

Grateful for this encounter; the road ahead is long, and I walk it with you.

26.03.16,
8:26 AM,
Pre-market summary,
Personal plan clear in my mind.

The opening sentiment was poor, with few limit-ups. The weekend’s brewing market and cross-border payments showed only moderate strength.
Midday, there was a divergence in volume, and the market’s overall momentum was weak.
The Shanghai Composite slightly fell 0.26%, closing at 4084.79 points. It seemed calm on the surface, but undercurrents were surging. This “deep V reversal in indices, more decliners than advancers” felt like “Qi and blood deficiency”—the index was supported by banks and state-owned giants, but only 2747 stocks rose, and trading volume shrank to 2.33 trillion yuan, down 750 billion from yesterday. The market’s “vitality” has not truly recovered. The bulls barely managed a “shrinking volume false positive” at the close, more like a pause in a downtrend than a reversal signal. Overall, the market is in a game of “fear of high prices” versus “bottom-fishing addiction.”

2. Observing strong and weak sectors: core routes of “Qi and blood fullness”
Strong sectors: AI hardware and semiconductors. Today, “storage chips” concept stocks surged collectively, with 10 stocks hitting the daily limit. Farsight rose three times, and Yuncong Technology, Jinan International, and others contributed. This is where “Qi and blood” are most abundant—funds are targeting the industry logic ahead of Nvidia’s GTC conference, executing a precise “counterattack” on compute hardware, a typical “reflow” of capital.

Weak sectors: Power and traditional energy. Although stocks like Dingxin Communications rebounded, overall, energy storage and green electricity continued to decline. Coal and steel, which are cyclical sectors, underperformed due to high oil prices. These sectors are like “meridian blockages,” with insufficient Qi and blood flow amid capital concentration in tech hardware, lacking attack momentum.

3. Listening to the market voice: exploring policy resonance and capital movements
1. Policy and industry resonance
Today’s biggest “storm eye” is in the tech sector. Nvidia’s GTC 2026 conference starts tomorrow. CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote speech has investors pre-emptively bidding on AI hardware and storage chips, expecting “Vera Rubin AI platform” and “Rubin Ultra chips.” Meanwhile, the Middle East conflict has caused crude oil prices to fluctuate at high levels. While this benefits energy, the market prefers “risk aversion” over “chasing gains,” and funds favor more certain growth in tech rather than resources affected by geopolitical tensions.

2. Listening to capital footsteps: attitudes of continuous rising stocks, limit-up stocks, and divergent funds
Capital attitudes show clear “high-low switching” and “herding.” The number of stocks hitting the daily limit has shrunk, with the top limit-down to three stocks, and only 8% of stocks advanced twice. This indicates extreme caution among funds at high levels—any slight disturbance prompts high-altitude retreat. However, funds committed to AI hardware remain resolute, with 10 stocks hitting the limit, reflecting strong “faith.” Divergent funds withdrew from PV and real estate yesterday, some shifted to tech, others stayed on the sidelines. The 750 billion yuan in reduced volume proves that funds are reluctant to add blindly amid uncertainty.

4. Diagnosing operational pulse: setting strategies and clarifying entry and exit
Tomorrow’s market is likely to continue a “volatile divergence” pattern. With Nvidia’s GTC conference opening, if AI hardware and storage chips continue to perform strongly, market enthusiasm can be maintained; if the event underwhelms, tech stocks may retreat.

Position control: Given the shrinking volume and fierce battle between bulls and bears, maintaining a total position of 30%-50% is advisable. Keep flexible troops ready for sudden changes, and avoid full positions in a low-volume market.

The greatest opportunity is where no one is paying attention;
The greatest risk is when everyone is clamoring.
Let capital become an extension of your will!

Wishing everyone’s Qi and blood flow smoothly, and their accounts shine brightly!

Thanks to the brothers and sisters of “Golden Powder World,” for understanding and supporting Xiaoyou through storms and sunshine. Your support has been invaluable.
Xiaoyou has now re-followed, and I will balance fishing and farming from now on.
Looking forward to more exchanges, mutual progress, and chasing freedom!

Thanks to all brothers and sisters for your likes! Recognizing others is also accumulating your own blessings;

Thanks for your generous tips! Those who are willing to give will receive continuously and abundantly!

Thanks for your encouragement! Cheering for others will surely make your path blossom and become more wonderful!