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BREAKING: Markets see a 99.2% chance the Fed will NOT cut rates at the March 18 FOMC meeting.
Why rate cuts matter?
The Federal Reserve controls the cost of money in the economy.
When rates fall:
• Borrowing gets cheaper
• Businesses invest more
• Consumers spend more
• Liquidity flows into markets
Risk assets like stocks and crypto typically benefit.
But when rates stay high:
• Loans remain expensive
• Housing and business investment slow
• Liquidity stays tight
• Economic growth cools
In simple terms: high rates slow the economy on purpose to fight inflation.
Markets were hoping for the start of a rate-cut cycle in 2026.
For now, the Fed is still holding the brakes.