🏛 2026.03.15 Power and Liquidity: Big Shark News Brief

Chapter 1 | Mojtaba's "Coronation": The Prolongation of Geopolitical Premium
Iran's supreme leader successor Mojtaba Khamenei has formally stepped out of the shadows and taken control of core power. This signals that Tehran's hardline trajectory is entering a "hereditary defensive war" phase. As long as the Strait of Hormuz blockade remains unlifted, digital assets' fundamental demand as "non-sovereign cross-border hard currency" will sustain its premium valuation.

Chapter 2 | Hidden QE: The Overlooked "$20 Billion Spigot"
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has quietly risen from $6.63T to $6.65T. Although officials refuse to acknowledge this as quantitative easing, hidden liquidity is covertly flowing toward risk assets through RRP (reverse repo) clearance and continued short-term debt purchases. This "do it without saying it" balance sheet expansion typically carries a 3-month lag period, and we're currently on the eve of an outbreak.

Chapter 3 | Strategic Reserve: Bessent (Bessent)'s "No-Sell Order"
Treasury Secretary Bessent has formally designated 328,000 BTC as U.S. national strategic reserve assets. This move physically drains the market's largest potential official selling pressure, forcing institutions into stock-based games within a "zero government selling pressure" vacuum.

Chapter 4 | Warsh (Warsh) Interceptor Battle: The "Red Wedding" of Federal Reserve Power
Presumptive Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's nomination is facing hardline obstruction from Senator Tillis. Markets are currently betting on two futures: either Warsh takes office and ushers in a "digital asset collateral era," or Powell remains in place maintaining the status quo. Monday's U.S. stock market opening will be the first real vote on this political deadlock.

Chapter 5 | CLARITY Act: Stablecoin "Profit-Sharing Agreement" Enters Final Ultimatum
The core deadlock of the bill centers on interest distribution. The American Bankers Association (ABA) is firmly blocking stablecoin payment yields. The current compromise is: rename "interest" to "Rewards." Once agreement is reached, the floodgates to trillions in traditional deposits will formally open.

Chapter 6 | Tax Freeze Period: Billion-Dollar Rebalancing Funds "Released After Serving Time" Today
The tens of billions in large account funds sold on January 29 to circumvent 1099-DA tax law have completed their 30-day "wash-sale isolation period" today (March 15). A significant portion of the market support we're seeing is the mandatory rebalancing demand from this tax-avoidance capital wave.

Chapter 7 | State Power Counterattack: Florida's SB 314 Settlement Storm
Florida has already taken the lead in allowing businesses to pay taxes and fees using stablecoins. This administrative-level physical acceptance forces the federal government to accelerate compliance framework implementation to prevent fragmented regulatory policies across states.

Chapter 8 | Wartime Premium: Liquidity Homecoming After Operation Epic Fury
Operation Epic Fury's sustained strikes have destroyed Iran's conventional counterattack capabilities, but pushed global shipping costs higher. Under such extreme uncertainty, stablecoins have become the preferred tool for the global elite class for cross-border capital transfers, with privacy sidechain traffic hitting 2026 highs.

Chapter 9 | Liquidation Trap: The $71,800 "Short Squeeze Harvest Position"
CoinGlass real-time heatmap shows shorts have built a $1.9 billion liquidation wall near $71,815. Current volatility at $70,400 is essentially major players attempting to lure longs/shorts, waiting for a sudden positive catalyst to pierce through the shorts' fortress.

Chapter 10 | ETH (ETH) Resilience: Value Floor
Ethereum has demonstrated extreme resilience following the 3.10 upgrade stress test. The current $2,000 has shifted from resistance to strong support. Ethereum's logic has transitioned from "safe haven" to "global compliance settlement layer rental yields," with valuation recovery about to commence.

Absent any surprises, expect another retest at $1,850.

Chapter 11 | Hash Rate Eastward Migration: Physical Binding of Energy and Computing Power
Affected by geopolitical risks, global hash rate is further concentrating toward North American nuclear power mining farms. This makes hash rate not just a mining tool, but an "electronic ballast" for stable energy grids, making it increasingly difficult for governments to impose bans on the industry.

Chapter 12 | Cycle Forecast: Deep Squat First, Then Jump
* Q1 High: Sprint toward $75,800, targeting liquidation of all geopolitical bearish leverage
* Q2 Low: Alert April tax season liquidity drain, retest at $64,500
* Q2 High: June fundamentals fully realized, target price locked at $92,000