[Red Packet] A risk signal has appeared! Caution!

Hello everyone, I am Xiaoxin. My trading system can be summarized with words like “timing, main theme, leading stocks, low frequency,” which is the Long Kong Long model. [Taogu Ba]
Follow me, and let’s catch the leading stocks together. If there are true leaders in the market that I haven’t shared, just unfollow!

1. Leading Stock Practical Trading Analysis

Friday Pre-market Plan:

1. Topway Information: Buy in during Monday’s opening auction, add positions on Tuesday, then the pattern changed from an active pattern to a passive lock-in, from a floating profit of 10 points to floating loss. The lobster theme game failed, and this operation warrants deep reflection.

Trading Logic:
(1) From a fundamental analysis: The company relies on open-source HarmonyOS 3.0 core capabilities, first completing deep adaptation and pre-integration of OpenClaw (lobster), launching an AI BOX with integrated capabilities, making it a genuine lobster concept stock.
(2) From a technical analysis: Last Friday’s涨停 (limit-up) stocks in the pure lobster concept include Topway Information, Jin Hang Technology, Ningbo Construction. Although Ningbo Construction was the first to hit the limit, clearly, Topway Information’s popularity and influence are the best. If Ningbo Construction is an emotional leader, then Topway Information is the real leader (distinguishing genuine from false leaders can be seen in the first main post); it hit涨停 on Feb 27 and Mar 6, forming an upward three-step K-line structure indicating bottom reversal signals; recent accumulation volume suggests large funds are building positions.
(3) From a hype perspective: Huawei’s China Partner Conference 2026 is about to start, scheduled for March 19-20. Before the conference, Topway Information still has expectations.
(4) Operational logic: A small gap-up on Monday was a pre-expected buy point; adding positions during Tuesday’s auction with a green order is routine. Afterwards, the active pattern overextended into passive lock-in.
Operational reflection:
Ø During chaotic phases, low buy and high sell arbitrage is key, but Topway Information overextended this, which is a main upward operation method, misapplied in a chaotic phase, leading from profit to loss.
Ø The lobster concept, as a new theme with nationwide discussion and continuous news, is viewed subjectively as a market-lasting theme. However, whether it can sustain depends on market funds, not just potential. The Tuesday hype was below expectations, and continued weakness on Wednesday indicates lack of market recognition, yet some still fantasize about a rebound. Respect the market, follow the market, and avoid subjective guesses—this still needs cultivation.

2. China Western Electric: Watch for being trapped during auction
   Trading Logic:
   As a strong trend stock in power, it experienced continuous pullbacks on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. The 10-day moving average is a key battleground with some value.
   Operational reflection:
   Ø This was an irrational trade. The pre-market plan already warned to be cautious on power stocks Friday, and to watch at the close. But because power stocks didn’t open high after a night of hype, instead opening with divergence, there was a possibility of divergence turning into consensus, so I bought during auction with a very low position.
   Ø China Western Electric’s position has been replaced by China Energy Construction, which was mentioned in the Wednesday review post as having fallen behind. Considering the cost-effectiveness and the fact that China Energy Construction had two consecutive limit-ups, with a high probability of a correction on Friday, I chose China Western Electric. This trade deviated from the original “leader trading” intent; with a clear big brother (Energy Construction) present, there was no need to gamble on the laggards.

Follow me to see pre-market plans first-hand; daily pre-market sharing will be posted openly in the comment area!!!

2. Seeking the Dragon Trilogy
   (1) From an emotional cycle perspective:
   Friday’s divergence was large. After the important meeting, stabilization funds withdrew, and the market chose to cash out. If tomorrow’s sentiment continues to decline, sentiment will retreat further. If sentiment recovers, Friday was just a small low point in the chaotic phase.
   (2) From theme hype perspective:
   Thursday night, the entire network compared power stocks to commercial aerospace. Once such comparison appears, it usually signals cooling off. After a slight resistance at the opening on Friday, strong divergence emerged—this was the day with the largest divergence since power stock hype began. The leading stock YuNeng Holdings hit the limit down, while ShunNa shares, HanLan shares, JinKai New Energy, GanNeng shares, and others all fell sharply. Fortunately, some stocks remained active, with China Energy Construction adjusting slightly, China Power Construction opening higher, GCL New Energy still closing positive, and China Electric Power Energy hitting four consecutive limit-ups. Tomorrow, observe the feedback from these active stocks and YuNeng Holdings. If they continue to fall together, the power theme ends; if the theme recovers, it can still be played.
   Regarding lobster concept stocks: after starting on Monday, divergence continued Tuesday through Thursday, all expecting a recovery on Friday. But Friday’s sell-off was even more intense. Core stocks like Huasheng Tiancai, Meili Yun, Ningbo Construction, Youkede, and Topway Information either hit the limit down or fell sharply, becoming the most disappointing theme this week. Even if there is a recovery later, it will be a selling point.
   Friday’s strongest sector remains chemical, which has strengthened for two days. Whether it continues is uncertain; just watch the leader, Jinniu Chemical.
   (3) From individual stock analysis:
   The big leader is already clear: YuNeng Holdings, the integrated power calculation leader.
   Looking closer, China Energy Construction is the main force, GCL New Energy is a strong trend group, and whether China Power Construction is retreating remains to be seen.

3. Leader Comments

4. YuNeng Holdings: The big leader of power calculation synergy. First limit-up opened above previous high, with an excellent chip structure for a big leader; five consecutive limit-ups with a strong start, then a weak-to-strong transition at the 6th, passing the “passage of the person” test, showing potential to become a major leader; actively broke through the 5-limit space resistance, faced a 7-limit direct move, and last Monday’s deep water long-legged pattern faced JG and suspension warnings, becoming a breakthrough dragon; then consolidated, resisting extreme market conditions, a “passage of the sky” test. Subsequently, with market warming, it rose again, successfully becoming a big leader. Friday’s limit-down, observe feedback tomorrow; unless a strong recovery occurs, it may have peaked. If JG delays, it could also signal a top.
   Trading: Mainly as an emotional indicator, hold and observe.

5. China Energy Construction: Power sector main force, with a market cap of hundreds of billions, has achieved 4 days of 3 limit-ups, once again refreshing cognition. But as a large-cap stock, the upward space is now limited; with Thursday’s trading volume reaching an astonishing 17.4 billion, there is a risk of topping out.
   Trading: Only sell signals, no buy signals now.

6. Tomorrow’s Observation Focus
   (1) Will power stocks continue to decline or recover? If they keep falling, the theme hype ends. Based on YuNeng Holdings, China Energy Construction, GCL New Energy, China Power Construction.
   (2) Will sentiment continue to decline or recover? If it declines further, sentiment is entering a retreat phase. Watch the performance of core stocks that hit limit-down or fell sharply on Friday, and whether there are large single-limit-down stocks. Check if the number of limit-down stocks remains above 10.
   (3) Will Zhongnan Culture (5-limit) and China Huadian Energy (4-limit) advance or continue to fall? If they advance, the limit-up space opens, confirming that Friday was just a small low point in the chaotic phase. If they fall further, the limit-up space remains constrained, and short-term sentiment recovery is unlikely.
   (4) Will YuNeng Holdings’ JG delay? If it hits limit down on Friday and JG delays further, it indicates very strong pressure, which will significantly impact short-term sentiment.

7. Market Risk Reminder
   The index remains in a bearish arrangement. After the important meeting, stabilization work is complete. Be cautious of further declines, which could lead to a main downtrend. Sentiment may also retreat, and a resonance of sentiment and index decline is most deadly. Holding cash and observing is the best choice.

Market summary for today:
The meeting ended, and the market is declining further!

That’s all for today! Thank you all for your recognition and support! If you have any questions, feel free to discuss in the comments!
If you find this post helpful, don’t forget to give it a thumbs-up!