This rebound is not an official opening of a trend, but rather a "technical correction" before the FOMC meeting. The market is currently in a "low-volume consolidation" phase, with both bulls and bears waiting for the Federal Reserve's "final judgment" next week.

This rebound is classified as a "technical correction" rather than a trend reversal.

Macro Headwinds: Fed rate cut expectations have been postponed, the dollar index is strengthening, which directly suppresses valuations of risk assets (including cryptocurrencies). The market is awaiting the FOMC meeting on March 18th for clear direction.

Insufficient Volume: Despite price rebounds, trading volume has not expanded significantly, characteristic of "low-volume corrective fluctuations." This indicates strong wait-and-see sentiment among investors, with major players not entering aggressively.

Adopt a "range-bound consolidation" strategy, strictly control positions, and avoid chasing rallies.

Bitcoin (BTC): Current price near $71,500. Upper resistance at $71,500-$72,200, lower support at $70,000. Recommended strategy: use high sell/low buy tactics within the $70,000-$72,000 range. A breakout above $72,200 suggests a bullish move, while a break below $70,000 warrants caution on pullback risks.

Ethereum (ETH): Moves in tandem with Bitcoin but shows relative weakness. Upper resistance at $2,110-$2,120, lower support at $2,050-$2,080. Recommendation: light long positions at support bounces, reduce positions if clear resistance is encountered at resistance levels.

Likely to continue "wide-range consolidation," awaiting the FOMC meeting outcome.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin's 4-hour chart has formed a double-top pattern, with price repeatedly testing the neckline near $70,000. Without a volume-driven breakout above $72,000, the market will likely maintain consolidation.

News: Next week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is the core focus. Hawkish signals (postponed rate cuts) could pressure the market; dovish signals could lead to a rebound. Before then, single-directional moves are unlikely.

💡 Strategy Assessment

* Short-term: Range consolidation, high sell/low buy, strict stop-losses.
* Mid-term: Wait for the FOMC meeting outcome for market clarity before establishing trend positions. Currently, maintain patience, strictly control positions, and avoid high-leverage risks.

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