Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Automatic Data Processing Stock Will Climb or Sink?

Bullish - green stock market chart with arrow up day trade by Quality Stock Arts via Shutterstock

Neharika Jain

Fri, February 13, 2026 at 12:52 AM GMT+9 2 min read

In this article:

•                                       StockStory Top Pick 
  

  ADP

  -3.33%

 ^GSPC  

 -1.08%  

 

 

 XLI  

 -0.94%  

Valued at a market cap of $87.6 billion, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is a Roseland, New Jersey-based company that provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions.

This HCM solutions provider has considerably underperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks. Shares of ADP have declined 29.5% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has gained 14.4%. Moreover, on a YTD basis, the stock is down 16%, compared to SPX’s 1.4% return.

More News from Barchart

Strategy Keeps Buying Bitcoin as Crypto, MSTR Stock Prices Plunge. How Should You Play It Here?

Pfizer Reports Strong Earnings Outlook - Unusual Call Options Activity Shows Investors are Bullish

Down 18% From Its Recent High, Should You Buy the Dip in Sandisk Stock?

Our exclusive Barchart Brief newsletter is your FREE midday guide to what's moving stocks, sectors, and investor sentiment - delivered right when you need the info most. Subscribe today!

Narrowing the focus, ADP has also notably lagged behind the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI), which surged 28.9% over the past 52 weeks and 14.5% on a YTD basis.

www.barchart.com

Shares of ADP dipped 1.5% on Jan. 28, after its mixed Q2 earnings release. The company’s total revenue increased 6.2% year-over-year to $5.4 billion, but missed Wall Street expectations by a slight margin, which might have made investors jittery. However, on the upside, its adjusted EPS advanced 11.5% from the year-ago quarter to $2.62, surpassing consensus estimates of $2.58. Moreover, ADP raised its fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS growth guidance.

For fiscal 2026, ending in June, analysts expect ADP’s EPS to grow 9.5% year-over-year to $10.96. The company’s earnings surprise history is promising. It topped the consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters.

Among the 18 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Hold,” which is based on three “Strong Buy,” 12 “Hold,” one "Moderate Sell,” and two “Strong Sell” ratings.

www.barchart.com

The configuration has changed since a month ago, with two analysts suggesting a “Strong Buy” rating and one recommending a “Strong Sell.”

On Feb. 9, Stifel Financial Corp. (SF) analyst David Grossman maintained a “Hold" rating on ADP and lowered its price target to $270, indicating a 26.6% potential upside from the current levels.

The mean price target of $281.40 represents a 32% premium to its current price, while its Street-high price target of $332 suggests an ambitious 55.7% potential upside from the current levels.

_ On the date of publication, Neharika Jain did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com _

Terms and Privacy Policy

Privacy Dashboard

More Info