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What I Expect from 2026
This is not about fast money.
It’s about survival, structure, and positioning when most quit.
2026 will be selective.
Fewer opportunities.
Higher cost of mistakes.
The market doesn’t owe you trades.
No trade is a position.
2025 was misunderstood.
It was the year of institutions: ETFs, derivatives, structured liquidity.
Big money doesn’t believe — it positions and extracts.
The biggest mistake of 2026:
Chasing reversals and increasing risk out of hope.
Hope is expensive. The market doesn’t pay for it.
Altcoins:
Most get washed out.
Too many tokens, unlocks, weak liquidity, regulation pressure.
Exceptions will be rare.
Structurally alive sectors:
— RWA
— Infrastructure
— DeFi v2
But returns decline every cycle.
Bitcoin:
Base case = pressure & bottom formation.
Watching 48k–74k range, extremes 38k–46k.
Main accumulation ≈ 64k.
Buying panic only.
Deeper cycle low → early bullish shift aligns closer to Sep 2026.
Beyond crypto:
Blockchain is infrastructure, not the whole world.
In 2026 I diversify into gold, oil, indices, stocks — selective crypto.
My 2026 playbook:
— More cash
— Short-biased when structure allows
— Fewer trades
— Lower risk
— Wait for panic
If there’s no setup — there’s no trade.
Rest if you’re tired.
Capital and mindset are the real edge.
Building a community focused on structure, flows, and execution — not illusions.