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This bull market seems to be driven by institutions, but the real show is still to come—the era of institutional-scale lending is about to begin.
BTC has long been de-commoditized, with most coins flowing into institutional hands. As the most valuable and largest collateral, BTC should be continuously flowing into DeFi as before, releasing liquidity through lending. But reality has hit a snag.
The problem is quite painful: retail investors have no coins, leaving no room for operation; institutions hold the coins but are instead constrained by regulations. Two shackles—first, the constraints of the regulatory framework; second, the tug-of-war over compliance bottom lines. This has prevented BTC's collateral function from being fully unleashed.
Institutions want to amplify returns through large-scale collateralized lending, but the regulatory environment has not yet fully opened the door for this model. Once this bottleneck is broken, the next phase of the institutional bull market will truly kick off. Currently, this tension is causing a tug-of-war between the market and policy.