2026-01-15 13:38:25

So here's the thing—rates still have room to come down significantly, but the Fed's not gonna do it on a whim. The key is nailing down solid proof that inflation's actually retreating, not just wishful thinking.

This is crucial for anyone watching markets. When the Fed starts cutting rates aggressively, liquidity flows back into risk assets—and that includes crypto. But the move can't happen until we see the data. We're talking consistent CPI readings, core inflation cooling, wage growth stabilizing—the whole package.

The messaging here matters because it sets expectations. If inflation numbers keep disappointing, don't expect the rate cuts traders are pricing in. Conversely, if we get a few solid months of retreat in price pressures, the Fed could shift into a more dovish stance faster than people think.

For traders managing crypto positions, this is your macro backdrop. Keep eyes on upcoming inflation data and Fed communications. The narrative around "how much lower can rates go" isn't just theoretical—it directly impacts capital flows and risk appetite in the broader market.

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SignatureLiquidator

· 01-18 05:16

Basically, it's waiting for data. If the CPI isn't strong, the Federal Reserve won't move blindly. When liquidity returns to risk assets, the crypto market will have its moment. --- Now it's all about whether inflation will truly fall; otherwise, the rate cut expectations are just pie in the sky. --- I think the Fed is still pretending in this round, just waiting for an excuse to secretly cut rates. --- Data is king; everything else is nonsense. Without cooling core inflation, nothing else matters. --- Once the rate cut cycle begins, the crypto market will come alive, but there are too many preconditions, so it feels like we have to wait a while. --- NGL, the Fed's words can be more deceptive than data; the information environment is always the biggest uncertainty.

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NFTBlackHole

· 01-17 11:49

In simple terms, there is indeed room for rate cuts, but the Federal Reserve won't cut recklessly. The key is whether inflation data truly declines, not just lip service. This is crucial for us in the crypto trading space. Once the Federal Reserve starts aggressively cutting rates, hot money will flood into risk assets, with the crypto market being the first to benefit. But the prerequisite is that the data must support it—CPI, core inflation, and wage growth all need to stabilize. The Fed's rhetoric can influence market expectations. If inflation data continues to underperform, don't expect those rate cuts priced in by traders. Conversely, if inflation cools for several consecutive months, the Fed's stance could shift much faster than you think. So, brothers, we need to keep a close eye on inflation data and the Fed's jawboning, as they directly determine how we adjust our positions. How much rates can be cut is theoretical; in reality, it influences the entire market liquidity.

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ser_ngmi

· 01-15 14:08

Basically, it's all about watching the data. The Fed won't move randomly; we have to wait until inflation really drops. Interest rates can still fall now, but there needs to be solid support. CPI, core inflation, wage growth—these all need to align. If even one is off, there's no hope. For our crypto circle, this is crucial... Only when liquidity truly arrives can the good show begin. I think, instead of guessing what the Fed is thinking, it's better to keep a close eye on the data. Don't be fooled by the expectations that traders hype up; only when rates are actually cut will funds start to move. Right now, it's all just talk on paper. --- When the rate cut comes, it's time to charge. If we miss this wave, there's really no hope. --- Another month, another round of waiting for data... I'm fed up. When will we finally see an actual cut? --- The key is whether inflation data can hold. If it continues to underperform, all those expectations priced in by traders will have to change. --- Yeah, that's right. These days, every month's CPI has become a "destined moment." So many in the crypto world rely on this to bet on rises and falls.

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SudoRm-RfWallet/

· 01-15 14:01

ngl Just waiting for the Fed to really loosen monetary policy. They keep calling for rate cuts every day, but the data isn't there yet—just armchair strategizing. As soon as the rate cuts happen, the crypto market will come alive. These are the iron laws, but the premise is that inflation must truly come down, not just KPI-style declines. CPI can't be fooled. When the time comes, nice words won't matter; only the data counts. If the Fed really gets desperate this round, they might turn faster than expected. Risk assets will be crying their eyes out. Watching these Fed communications every day is exhausting—it's just a gamble on when the data will look good.

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AirdropDreamer

· 01-15 13:53

Basically, it's just waiting for the data. If CPI doesn't come down, the Fed won't dare to make reckless moves. Once liquidity loosens, that's when the crypto market will have its show.

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