On-chain wallet monitoring: predicting the political game trajectory of market participants

OnChainDetective · 2026-01-15T10:00:10+00:00

Lookonchain data shows that among the three wallets profiting from predicting political events, two remain silent, while the wallet labeled "SBet365" has been active recently, betting that Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei will step down before January 31. This reflects market participants' concern about geopolitical issues and strategic adjustments.

OnChainDetective

2026-01-15 10:00:10

Abstract generation in progress

【区块律动】Lookonchain的链上监测数据显示了一些有趣的市场现象。这三个此前因预测政治事件而获利的钱包中，两个已经连续11天保持沉默，没有任何交易记录。不过另一个标记为「SBet365」的地址最近活跃了起来——就在两天前，它进行了新的投注操作。这次的预测目标换成了伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊，钱包主人下注他将在1月31日之前下台。这种行为模式反映出预测市场参与者对地缘政治的持续关注，也展现了链上数据背后真实的交易决策在发生。有趣的是，同样的钱包在不同时期呈现出了完全不同的活动特征——这或许说明参与者在调整策略，也可能反映出市场情绪的变化。

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

MerkleMaid

· 20h ago

On-chain gamblers are really something else. After 11 days of silence, they suddenly bet on the Iranian political situation... They really dare to place this kind of bet.

View OriginalReply0

POAPlectionist

· 21h ago

This guy is gambling on geopolitics again... These on-chain folks really dare to try everything.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainBrokenPromise

· 01-17 20:37

Haha, these people really dare to gamble, even using geopolitical issues as bets...

View OriginalReply0

RebaseVictim

· 01-15 10:30

Wow, playing political games again? These people really dare to gamble on everything... But to be honest, on-chain wallets operating so blatantly like this, it feels quite risky.

View OriginalReply0

SerumSquirrel

· 01-15 10:28

Silent for 11 days and suddenly pops up with a new trick? This guy really dares to do it, even betting on the geopolitical chess game...

View OriginalReply0

liquidation_watcher

· 01-15 10:23

Suddenly placing bets again on the Iran political situation after 11 days of silence? This guy really can't sit still. The prediction market is just a gambler's paradise.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationHunter

· 01-15 10:20

Hey, this prediction market is really a gambler's paradise, betting on politicians to step down... so daring.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeCrier

· 01-15 10:12

Wow, gambling on geopolitical issues again? These people are really bold. Predictive markets are just another form of gambling... But looking at the on-chain data and such obvious activity patterns, you can indeed sense what the market is betting on.

View OriginalReply0

LightningHarvester

· 01-15 10:10

Hey, wait a minute. Has this guy gotten addicted to prediction markets? He was silent for 11 days and now he's back to invest again? Seems like he's planning to bet big.

View OriginalReply0

MrRightClick

· 01-15 10:08

Haha, these people really dare to bet. From political events to international situations, market prediction players have some serious guts.

View OriginalReply0