The global economy in 2026 is walking at a crossroads. The IMF forecasts a slowdown in global growth to 3.1%, while major central banks are taking very different actions— the Federal Reserve is wavering between inflation and growth, the European Central Bank is cautiously and steadily cutting interest rates, and the Bank of Japan is testing policy normalization. This asynchronous policy approach will inevitably trigger a reallocation of global capital, leading to market volatility.

Interestingly, amidst this uncertainty, some economies have demonstrated unique resilience. Their industrial structures are rapidly adjusting, exports to emerging markets are performing well, and with the initiation of new phase planning and policy support, the entire system has a buffer.

It’s important to clarify—true resilience is not assets simply rising in a straight line, but rather the market’s ability to maintain rational pricing when impacted, avoiding a stampede caused by liquidity drying up.

The current challenges are clear: global trade growth is nearly at a standstill (WTO data suggests merchandise trade growth may fall to 0.5%), geopolitical uncertainties, and the inherent contradictions in US fiscal and monetary policies—all of which could reshuffle risk assets. But opportunities also exist—about 30% of global economic growth is contributed by a major economy, and structural benefits from industrial upgrades are emerging. These factors can provide reassurance to the market.

For crypto investors, this moment is especially critical. Don’t view Bitcoin’s movements in isolation anymore. At certain stages, Bitcoin’s price volatility will significantly correlate with the Nasdaq and the US dollar index. Global interconnectedness has become the new normal; those still focusing only on individual assets are likely to fall into traps. The market is interconnected, and your investment strategy must keep pace.