Do you remember the days when the market was swinging wildly at the end of last year? Now the market is surprisingly calm.



The latest data shows that Bitcoin's implied volatility has compressed to around 23%. To put it simply, it's like winding a spring to its maximum tension—historically, every time it reaches this point, a strong rebound or crash follows. Which direction will the price move? The market is approaching a critical point where a decision must be made.

But beneath this calm surface, there are plenty of hidden currents.

From the options market perspective, traders' attitudes are clearly shifting. Previously, everyone was "buying insurance to prevent a crash," but now? Demand for call options (bullish contracts) is increasing, indicating that smart money is betting on the direction—and leaning upward. This is not a small signal.

Where is the price now? Around the average cost line for short-term holders, approximately $99,000. This line is not just a number; it’s a psychological dividing line. Once the price stabilizes here, market confidence will significantly recover.

There’s also a more direct signal—institutional funds. The outflow of Bitcoin spot ETF funds from a major exchange has begun to slow, and there are even faint signs of net inflows. Remember, once institutions start buying again, it’s a sign that the market is igniting.

So, what should you do now?

First, avoid frequent trading within this volatile range, as it’s easy to get caught out. The safest approach is: set price alerts and patiently wait for the market to signal its next move.

On the technical side, focus on two key levels: if the resistance zone around $95,000–$96,000 is broken effectively, the price could quickly surge toward $100,000; if it falls below support near $87,000, be alert for a deeper correction.

At this point, instead of guessing the market direction blindly, it’s better to ensure your position is solid. Buckle up and wait for the market to give clear signals before following—this is the most rational choice before the storm.
BTC3,16%
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MintMastervip
· 10h ago
Ah, this spring theory again... Every time they say it's going to explode, but what happens? Still idling at 9.9k.
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SilentObservervip
· 10h ago
A 23% volatility is really a bit outrageous, the spring is twisted to the limit, and you need to be ready for a hit at any time. Smart money is starting to buy up, and I just want to know if institutions have really regained their funds or if they're just here to cut the leeks again. Stuck at the 99,000 line, if it can't break through, it will be awkward. Better to just set a reminder honestly, since guessing won't get you anywhere anyway.
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UnluckyMinervip
· 10h ago
The spring is twisted too tightly; it will loosen sooner or later, but I just don't know where it will burst.
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quietly_stakingvip
· 10h ago
The spring is so tight, it feels like it's about to break... Smart money is buying the dip, institutions are flowing back, and these two signals appearing together definitely mean something. Has the 99,000 line been broken? It feels like everything depends on this.
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RunWithRugsvip
· 10h ago
Wait, just because the spring is compressed, does it necessarily bounce back? Feels like this time is different. ETFs are still flowing out. Is the smart money really buying, or are they just going to cut our leeks again? We need to hold the 99,000 line, or I’ll just give up. Institutional buying = ignition? Said the same last time, and look what happened. The hardest part now is to do nothing. My fingers are itching like crazy.
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GrayscaleArbitrageurvip
· 10h ago
It's that "spring tightening" signal again, always saying a breakout is coming but dragging on and on. Increase in call options? The big players have already been lurking, and we're still here watching the show. Whether the ETF net inflow is real or not needs to be checked again.
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