Bitcoin's price action often mirrors shifts in global monetary conditions more closely than many realize. Looking at M2 money supply data with a 50-day lag reveals an interesting pattern—when global liquidity tightens, Bitcoin typically finds support at these lagged levels, while expansion phases can signal bounce opportunities. The relationship isn't perfect, but the correlation is compelling enough to deserve attention in your trading thesis. If this M2 lag model holds, we should expect meaningful price action around current levels. It's the kind of macro liquidity signal worth monitoring across different timeframes, especially when short-term noise drowns out the larger structural picture.