According to the latest data, the BTC long positions held by large whales reached a peak of 73,000 coins in December, but have recently begun to decline significantly. This change has attracted the attention of many traders—historically, whale liquidations at local highs often precede price increases.



An analyst on social media pointed out that large traders on Bitfinex are actively closing their BTC long positions, a signal that has historically led to intense volatility. He reviewed the last similar liquidation scenario—early 2025, when Bitcoin was stuck around $74,000 for a long time.

This analyst uses the Wyckoff method to track whale movements and found that the decline in longs last year almost perfectly corresponded with BTC breaking below the $75,000 support level. In Wyckoff terminology, this low point is called a "spring," signaling the start of a new upward trend.

He mentioned that the previous liquidation cleared out many leveraged positions, which then triggered a 50% rebound within 43 days, pushing Bitcoin up to $112,000. Currently, BTC is consolidating around $91,500. If history repeats, similar pattern movements could target $135,000 or higher.
BTC-0,22%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
TheShibaWhisperervip
· 17h ago
Whale liquidation = bottom signal? I've heard this logic for three years, can it be accurate just once?
View OriginalReply0
AlwaysMissingTopsvip
· 17h ago
The whales are at it again, really old tricks. A 50% rebound in 43 days... just thinking about it is exciting.
View OriginalReply0
StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 17h ago
actually, if you backtest the correlation between bitfinex whale positioning and subsequent volatility spikes using a 60-day rolling window... the r-squared is honestly weaker than most people think. but yeah, that wyckoff spring setup does have merit statistically speaking.
Reply0
DegenWhisperervip
· 18h ago
Whale sell-offs are often a bottom signal. I've heard this logic many times before, but this time, the story of the 1,430,000 rebound is indeed a bit tempting... But on the other hand, will 135,000 really be reached?
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)