#2026年比特币行情展望 The latest signals from the Federal Reserve are quite interesting. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman recently made remarks that caused a stir in the market—stating that interest rates need to be cut by more than 100 basis points by 2026. This statement contrasts sharply with the cautious language used by other officials recently, revealing the Fed’s true assessment of the economic outlook.

In simple terms, it’s an early warning sign of a potential recession. Historical patterns are fascinating: whenever the Fed signals such a strong rate cut expectation in advance, Bitcoin’s average gain over the following 12 months can reach up to 380%. The logic behind this is not complicated—rate cut expectations trigger→ capital flows out of US Treasuries→ institutions and individuals preemptively allocate to crypto assets→ waiting for a surge of global liquidity. This transmission chain has been repeatedly validated throughout history.

Mainstream cryptocurrencies like $SOL, $XRP, and $ETH tend to react first at these macro turning points. The question now is: how will this liquidity cycle influence the market? Will it prompt immediate rebalancing, or will we continue to wait and see? Should we be more aggressive? The decision is in your hands.