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BTC drops from 94k to 91k. Why is there volatility amid strong liquidity?
Today, BTC experienced a rollercoaster: this morning, it briefly surged past $94,600 but quickly retraced to the $91k-$93k range, currently stabilizing around $93,000-$93,800.
Despite the global liquidity rebound, with the Fed injecting funds and M2 surging, fueling the bull market, why is the price still correcting? Don’t worry, this is often normal market behavior.
The main reasons for the correction are short-term factors:
1. Rapid rally triggers short squeeze (over $400 million liquidated in 24 hours), profit-taking by longs follows;
2. $94k acts as a strong technical resistance (historical high and Fibonacci level), multiple tests fail, leading to false breakouts and sell-offs;
3. At the start of the new year, after weekend holidays, trading volume is relatively low, amplifying volatility;
4. While liquidity improvement is positive, the transmission takes time, usually lagging by weeks to months, and current prices are “digesting” these effects.
However, the market remains lively, with some shouting “sell-off conspiracy” or predicting to fill the $88k CME gap, but most see this as healthy consolidation. Community sentiment still “lags by one cycle,” as many are cautious due to past bear market trauma, missing the actual price rally.
Market outlook:
1. If short-term support holds at $92k-$93k and resistance at $94k-$95k is broken, a retest of $98k and even a push toward $100k is possible (options data shows strong demand for $100k calls, and analysts like Tom Lee are optimistic about new highs by the end of January);
2. Conversely, if it falls below $91k or briefly retests $88k-$90k, it’s mostly a trap for short sellers.
3. Mid-term (Q1 2026), sustained liquidity injection, ETF inflows, and institutional accumulation will drive a volatile upward trend, targeting $100k-$120k+. History shows January often performs strongly, especially after consecutive down days, with rebounds.
Risks to watch: geopolitical tensions (such as Middle East or Venezuela events) or macro tightening could intensify volatility. Overall, this is not a bull turning into a bear, but a normal “buy the rumor, sell the fact” correction. Liquidity direction is clear, and BTC is catching up—be patient, hold your positions, buy on dips, and volatility is an opportunity!
NFA, DYOR