A certain weather prediction robot has achieved impressive trading results in on-chain prediction markets, but its winning logic is not the weather forecast itself, rather precise probability arbitrage.

Someone uncovered the transaction records of this account, which are quite substantial. In the largest single-profit case, a cost of $0.81 was used to generate a return of $39.89, with a yield soaring to 4900%. As of now, the overall profit of the account has reached $1,139. At first glance, it might be attributed to luck, but a deeper analysis of its trading structure reveals the secret.

The core of this strategy does not lie in the accuracy of weather predictions, but in the sensitivity to market sentiment and pricing deviations. Through structured position design, it repeatedly captures mispricing opportunities in the on-chain derivatives market, leveraging probabilistic advantages to achieve stable profits. This trading pattern has become a new paradigm in on-chain quantitative trading — not pursuing single big hits, but accumulating gains through continuous micro-arbitrage.