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The first week of the new year has passed; it's time to organize my thoughts.
A few days ago, I experienced consecutive losses—LIGHT and the 714 contract directly wiped me out, with over $5,000 and $6,000 instantly cleared. It felt like losing two consecutive rounds in a game, and my mindset started to drift. The next day, I managed to recover over $20,000 through short-term trading, covering most of the losses and ending with a small profit.
The following days were a cycle of trial and error—sometimes the market cooperated, and live trading doubled quickly; as soon as I finished streaming, I started making reckless trades, losing over $8,000. Other times, I made small profits during the stream but continued trading afterward, ending the day with a floating loss of three to five thousand. The entire weekend was a rollercoaster, losing more than $12,000, completely disrupting my rhythm.
My biggest takeaway is: once the rhythm is broken, every trade feels like kneeling. The mindset during floating gains and floating losses is completely different; the influence of favorable and adverse conditions on decision-making is huge. Even experts like Brother George frequently cut losses, which shows that when the market rhythm doesn't match, the smartest choice is to take a break.
Regarding small capital operations, I’ve tried many times over the years with high-leverage contracts and rolling positions. This approach is indeed feasible and the easiest to replicate—mainly because it allows for 99 failures, and as long as you succeed once, you can wipe out previous losses. But the prerequisite is that you must survive until that one success.
The shift from aggressive rolling to steady operation hinges on the stage of capital accumulation. In the early stages, it's hard to be steady because the market doesn't often surprise you. Over 365 days a year, there are only a few real opportunities to make money; most of the time, it's small trades or small losses. Professional traders typically have a win rate of around 20%, relying on a very high risk-reward ratio to compensate—winning once can offset three or five losses.
Final advice: don’t expect to profit every day. Don’t rush; keep refining your trading system, improve your decision-making skills, and manage your mindset. The road is long, so let’s keep going together.