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Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced dramatic fluctuations. Bitcoin has been repeatedly tugged back and forth around the $100,000 mark, with an unseen capital covert war behind the scenes. Market volatility has soared, hiding a chain reaction of whale repositioning, institutional quietly withdrawing, and leveraged longs being collectively liquidated.
Rebounding to $104,000, only to be pushed back down to $102,000—this has probably been the common experience for every Bitcoin holder over the past month. Since the all-time high of $126,000, Bitcoin has not calmed down, ultimately falling through the psychological $100,000 barrier and even dipping to $93,778.6. This round has wiped out over 30% of this year's gains. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also fallen to 20, hitting a near-half-year low.
What is hidden behind this $100,000 defense battle? On-chain data gives us the answer.
A whale holding $11 billion worth of Bitcoin has recently been engaged in a major "transfer." This veteran player active in the crypto space since 2011 sold 22,769 Bitcoins (worth about $2.59 billion) in recent months, then turned around and poured the money into Ethereum, buying 472,920 spot ETH at once, and also opened a $577 million Ethereum perpetual long position on a decentralized exchange.
The most telling detail is the timing of this whale's moves. Just 30 minutes before Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, the whale had already opened positions exceeding $1.1 billion each in Bitcoin and Ethereum. From this operation, it’s clear that institutional capital movements are quietly changing market expectations.