**DOGE Market Rebound Opportunity Analysis Under Market Pressure**



DOGE has recently exhibited complex market dynamics. The current price is around $0.12, having pulled back from previous highs, but this correction provides an entry point for long-term positioning. To understand the essence of this wave of market movement, it is necessary to interpret the driving forces from multiple dimensions.

**Turning Point in Market Sentiment**

The inflow of large capital is changing market expectations. On-chain data shows that recent large holders have accumulated holdings of 1 billion DOGE, equivalent to an investment of about $200 million. Meanwhile, the probability of approval for the 2025 DOGE spot ETF has risen to 67%, which is highly attractive to institutional investors. The derivatives market is also active—futures open interest has surpassed $38.2 billion, and the potential short covering pressure should not be underestimated.

On the technical side, a key development is the advancement of the ZKP upgrade, which means expanded privacy protection and application ecosystem, directly strengthening DOGE’s long-term value support.

**Key Price Levels on the Technical Chart**

From a price structure perspective, $0.20 is an important support line, with a secondary support at $0.225. Resistance above is concentrated in the $0.243-$0.25 range, and a breakout could target $0.258 and $0.268. As long as the daily chart remains above $0.243, an upward trend toward $0.268 and even $0.285 is justified; conversely, if it falls below $0.225, a change in sentiment is needed.

**Participation Strategy in Phases**

Recent operations can be planned across three time dimensions:

In the short term (about 1 week), if the price is supported above $0.243, moderate chasing up to around $0.268 is possible, with a stop-loss set at $0.240.

From a medium-term perspective (1 month), it is advisable to accumulate in the $0.220-$0.230 range, with $0.20 as the stop-loss red line, targeting $0.30-$0.35.

For the long term (beyond the end of the year), gradually building positions below $0.25 and focusing on accumulation in the $0.18-$0.20 zone is recommended. Conservative expectations aim for $0.35-$0.40, while optimistic scenarios look toward above $0.50.

The core logic of the strategy: hold firmly when the trend is intact, and exit decisively when support fails. The current correction should not be viewed pessimistically but as a window for patient accumulation.
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