#数字资产市场动态 💥 Ethereum multi-cycle RSI resonance oversold, is a rebound imminent or will the decline continue?💥

Recently, Ethereum's technical indicators have shown a rare synchronized signal—4-hour and 1-hour RSI almost simultaneously falling into oversold territory (values of 26.9 and 29.5 respectively), which constitutes a clear "resonance bullish" feature in technical analysis. But that's not all: the daily downtrend remains solid, creating a confrontation between short-term rebound pressure and medium-term downward constraints.

Based on historical backtesting, when such oversold resonance occurs across multiple timeframes, the probability of a rebound within the next 24 hours exceeds 60%. The current price is at a critical level around 2915. We need to judge: is this the final exhaustion of the bears, or the beginning of a bullish counterattack?

**Precise Positioning Plan**

This is not a gambling-style bottom-fishing but a high-probability, high risk-reward operation—using 17 points of risk to aim for 95 points of profit.

Set up in the convergence zone of multiple supports near 2895, waiting for a technical correction towards the resistance zone at 2994.

**Execution Details**

· Direction: Rebound
· Entry point: 2895 (must wait for a clear bullish signal on the 15-minute chart, such as a long lower shadow)
· Stop-loss: 2878 (exit immediately if broken)
· First target: 2950 (reduce position by 50%)
· Final target: 2990 (exit all)
· Position size: 2%-3% of total capital

**Three Disciplines**

1. Patience and calmness: Only enter after the price reaches 2895 and a bullish candlestick signal appears on the 15-minute chart.
2. Prioritize stop-loss: 2878 is the absolute exit line; exit immediately if reached—no gambling mentality.
3. Take profit promptly: After reaching 2950, move the remaining stop-loss to the cost basis to protect capital.

**Two Scenarios in the Next 12 Hours**

High probability (60%): Stabilize at support zone 2895-2888, then initiate a rebound towards 2950-2990.
Low probability (40%): Volume breaks below 2878, invalidating the rebound logic, entering a new downtrend—at this point, stop-loss and switch to observation.