2025-12-25 07:21:05

On December 25th, Christmas Day, major global financial markets are closed, and the cryptocurrency market has also felt the impact—liquidity has significantly shrunk, with trading volume down approximately 30% month-on-month. It's like putting a shark in shallow waters; even small waves can cause big turbulence.

Historical data shows an interesting pattern: looking back over the past four years, Bitcoin has almost always experienced noticeable volatility between December 25th and 31st. The current price hovers around $87,000. Based on this cycle, the market is likely to continue adjusting by 5% to 10%. It doesn't sound like much, but in an environment of scarce liquidity, this can trigger a chain reaction.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently in a state of range-bound stalemate. Resistance is encountered at $88,000–$88,500, while support is at $86,500–$87,000. The bulls and bears are temporarily tied, with neither side able to muster enough strength to change the situation.

The situation for ETH and SOL is similar; both face uncertainty under this low liquidity environment. For retail investors, this period requires extra caution—beneath the seemingly calm surface, undercurrents may be brewing.

BTC0.27%

ETH-0.48%

SOL-0.57%

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ProofOfNothing

· 3h ago

Christmas liquidity this wave is really a killer, shallow waters raise sharks... That metaphor is perfect. --- It's that time of year again with the end-of-year curse, gotta watch out for a wave during these few days. --- 87,000 is hovering, waiting to see how the 5-10% drop will play out. Not much, but it might be enough. --- If the bottom support can't hold, it will break through directly. No one dares to take this position. --- Retail investors are best to lie low at this time; anyway, it's hard to tell who will win between bulls and bears. --- ETH and SOL are falling in line, classic move. --- I believe in the saying that dark currents are surging; calmness is just an illusion. --- Five to ten points, in low liquidity situations, it could disappear instantly. --- It's best if bulls and bears are tied, whoever moves first loses, everyone is just waiting for the other to make the first move.

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Liquidated_Larry

· 3h ago

Christmas is really a trap, liquidity directly evaporated by 30% The shark in shallow waters metaphor is perfect; we small retail investors are just fish fry waiting to be slaughtered Are the historical cycles reliable? Did we do the same thing last year? That $88,000 level is still best to wait patiently; jumping in now is just courting death ETH has been extremely strange this week, it feels like it’s going to fall Who dares to move in a low liquidity environment? The undercurrents are indeed surging A 5 to 10 point adjustment doesn’t sound like much, but with leverage, liquidation can happen in minutes At this time, I’ve decided to lie low; doing nothing is the safest $87,000 is a threshold; it depends on whether it can hold after Christmas SOL is even more fierce; when liquidity is poor, it’s more brutal than BTC

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CounterIndicator

· 3h ago

The Christmas holiday closure is really a killer, liquidity evaporated and retail investors were directly eaten by the market The analogy of sharks entering shallow waters is classic, a true depiction, anyone who touches it will die The 87,000 level feels a bit weak, I think it will go down to 86,500 to test support, is this historical cycle so accurate? A 5% to 10% drop may not seem much, but it still makes your heart tremble when it happens, the shallow water effect is too terrifying ETH and SOL are also trembling, feels like everyone is betting on a rally at the end of the year Right now, the bulls and bears are deadlocked, no one dares to make the first move, just see who can’t hold on first Retail investors should step back at this point, betting should wait until liquidity recovers The phrase "under the calm surface, dark currents are surging" hit home, I already reduced my position long ago

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PaperHandSister

· 3h ago

The Christmas holiday market closure is really incredible, my heart is fluctuating along with it --- The shallow shark analogy is perfect haha, even small waves can cause big events --- Here it comes again, this time window is always restless every year, I just watch quietly --- The 87,000 level is really annoying, both sides are tightly blocked, who will save me --- Liquidity shrinks just like that, 5% can turn into 10%, my small position is trembling --- Are historical cycles reliable? It feels like every time someone talks about patterns, they end up proven wrong --- Low liquidity environment is the most annoying, any movement could trigger a trap, might as well lie flat --- Retail investors are just prey during this period, just watch the show and stay still

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