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Looking at the market with a sense of unease, I actually see quite a few opportunities.
This recent wave of volatility has indeed scared many people—Bitcoin repeatedly battling the $90,000 mark, retail investors rushing to cut losses. But based on my experience through several cycles, I have to say: this is actually a normal mid-cycle adjustment in a bull market, far from the end of the trend.
The market logic is so straightforward—despair often signals a new beginning, and hesitation is actually a prelude to an upward move. All current indicators are hinting that this story is far from over.
**Adjustment ≠ End of the trend; this is the normal rhythm of a bull market**
Since early October, Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30%, which has definitely scared many newcomers. But if you look back at history, you'll see that since 2010, Bitcoin has experienced about 50 corrections of over 10%, with an average decline of precisely around 30%. Since the low point in November 2022, such corrections have occurred 9 times, yet the bull market is still ongoing.
This is backed by professional analysis from institutions. Grayscale's assessment is clear: current is a "bull market correction," with an average decline of about 25%, usually lasting 2 to 3 months. This is a very normal adjustment in a bull market. Truly deadly "cycle corrections" would see deeper and longer declines, taking 2 to 3 years to recover.
**Wall Street's entry has rewritten the game rules**
The fundamental difference from past cycles is here—the involvement of large institutions on a massive scale. This is no longer retail investors' self-entertainment; it is an official game where Wall Street and global financial institutions are betting together. This structural shift determines that the logic of this round's trend is completely different from before.