#BTC资金流动性 What is the iron law of fund management? Divide the principal into five equal parts, using only one part for each trade. Set a hard stop loss of 10 points; a single loss should not exceed 2% of the total funds. Even if you get five consecutive trades wrong, the loss is only 10%. But the take-profit target should aim for more than 10 points, so that no matter how low the win rate, compound returns can still turn positive.

To make trading more stable, there is only one key—follow the trend and go with the market momentum. Rebounds during a downtrend are traps for retail investors, while pullbacks during an uptrend are real opportunities. This is not just theory; it’s an iron law validated by the market every day.

For coins that have experienced short-term rapid rises, whether mainstream or small-cap, it’s best not to touch them. Coins that have gone through several main upward waves are few; trying to buy after a quick surge is highly unlikely to succeed. High-level stagnation often means a correction is coming, and this logic is always correct.

Focus on MACD for technical analysis—simple and effective. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break above zero—enter the market. Conversely, when a death cross occurs above the zero line—reduce your position quickly. No complicated tricks, just straightforward.

What is the most misleading advice for retail investors? Averaging down. Those who keep buying more as prices fall end up suffering huge losses—this is a bloody lesson in trading cryptocurrencies. The rule is simple: add to your position only when you’re making money; never average down when losing—this is the bottom line.

Volume and price should work together as the core of market analysis. When a low-level consolidation breaks out with increased volume—pay attention, it might go higher. When there’s high volume but the price can’t move up—exit immediately, don’t hesitate.

Don’t ignore the moving average system either. When the 3-day moving average turns upward, there’s short-term potential; the 30-day moving average rising indicates medium-term prospects; when the 84-day moving average turns upward, the main upward wave is signaling; and when the 120-day moving average turns upward, the long-term trend is confirmed. When multiple timeframes resonate, that’s the most solid entry point.

Finally, review every trade. Does the logic of holding the coin still hold? Does the weekly K-line technical pattern support your judgment? Has the trend direction shifted? Strategies must be adjusted according to market dynamics; operating in a stagnant manner will eventually hit a wall.