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Trump claims that Trump Gold Card sales have reached $1.3 billion, and Polymarket officials have added rules stating it is "not credible."
On December 20th, Trump stated at yesterday’s press conference that the sales of the Trump Gold Card have reached $1.3 billion, “a booming sales.” However, the prediction platform Polymarket added a note to its related forecasts indicating that only data explicitly referring to quantities that have been finally approved and supported by completed payments count. Trump’s statement on December 19th regarding the Gold Card sales, as well as Howard Lutnick’s claim that “$1.3 billion worth has been sold in just a few days,” do not themselves meet the standard of “finally approved and supported by completed payments.” As of press time, the probability on Polymarket predicting “Trump Gold Card sales this year are $0” remains as high as 89%. The Trump Gold Card is an investment immigration program launched by the Trump administration, allowing wealthy foreigners to obtain U.S. residency by paying a high fee (currently $1 million, plus a $15,000 processing fee).