Tomorrow's Bank of Japan interest rate decision could become a turning point in the recent global financial markets. The market widely expects the BOJ to raise the policy interest rate to 0.25%, hitting a nearly 30-year high. Behind this seemingly small number lies a signal that the era of cheap global funds is coming to an end.



The chain reaction in the funding chain has already become apparent. The crypto market has experienced consecutive declines this month, with market sentiment dropping to extreme fear. Besides the impact of Federal Reserve policies, this is largely due to the market's early digestion of the BOJ's rate hike expectations. When arbitrage funds withdraw from the easing environment, risk assets are the first to be affected. As front-line risk assets, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are under significant pressure.

The key variable lies in Governor Ueda Shinji's wording. If the rate hike is accompanied by signals of a slowdown, it could mean the worst is over and a short-term recovery is possible; conversely, if it hints at continued aggressive rate hikes next year, global funds will accelerate outflows from emerging risk assets, making a turnaround in the crypto space much more difficult.

Operational advice: Avoid heavy positions for bottom fishing, focus on maintaining core holdings, and ensure sufficient liquidity. Prioritize shorting strategies, avoid going against the trend recklessly, and use small positions for trial and error to allow more room for mistakes. Preserving principal is always the top priority. After the rate hike, capital flows will inevitably change, and those overlooked potential sectors may be the next opportunity.
BTC0.31%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
MidsommarWalletvip
· 12-18 03:49
Ueda, that old brother, a single sentence tomorrow can determine the life or death of the crypto world, so exciting...
View OriginalReply0
SilentAlphavip
· 12-18 03:49
The Bank of Japan's 0.25% rate hike isn't a big deal. The real killer move depends on what that guy Ueda says—one sentence can determine life or death.
View OriginalReply0
OvertimeSquidvip
· 12-18 03:49
The Bank of Japan is about to take action again. Let's see what Ueda has to say; the more aggressive the wording, the more we know whether our crypto circle is dead or alive.
View OriginalReply0
SchrodingerAirdropvip
· 12-18 03:44
Here we go again? The Bank of Japan is about to perform tomorrow, feels just like the Federal Reserve, all just on paper... Arbitrage funds can withdraw if they want, anyway we don't have much to be trapped in haha
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)