Last night there was a piece of news that not many people paid attention to, but it might become a powder keg for the market: the Fed is about to "tear" itself apart.

It is said that among the 12 voting committee members, 5 insist on keeping interest rates unchanged, while 3 are calling for a cut, and the next meeting might really end up with a vote of 7 to 5. This is not just a simple numbers game—what will happen in the market when the central bank itself is uncertain?

A fund manager at Threadneedle made a very clear point: if the voting results in a split like 7 to 5, the interest rate market will first panic, and risk assets will follow suit. For us who play with coins, this is not just a regular "rise and fall fluctuation". In the past, when the Fed released a message, everyone at least knew where to run; now they are arguing among themselves, so who should the market follow?

The key is here: the more ambiguous the policy, the easier it is for "unexpected market movements" to emerge.

During the last round of internal disputes within the Fed, Bitcoin's daily volatility exceeded 20% directly. How many people rushed in looking at the "positive news" and ended up being buried by a large bearish candle? That was not a trend reversal at all; it was just the main force taking advantage of the chaos in the news to wash out the chips. If you're still only focusing on K-lines for short-term trading now, it's basically like sailing a ship in a storm— even the wind direction indicator is spinning around.

What should retail investors do? Don't rush to go all in, and don't panic and run away.

Keep a close eye on the subsequent statements of Fed officials—who speaks the hardest and whose stance is the clearest, the short-term market will be swayed by that voice. For truly worthwhile assets, don't let the daily "news noise" throw you off balance. The more fragmented the market, the more you should stick to your own judgment logic.

When most people are caught up in their emotions, it is precisely the opportunity for a few to see the direction clearly.