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BTC (Bitcoin)
While the analysis suggests the market remains in a correction phase and emphasizes shorting below 103,500, there are signs that could support a bullish bias:
Consolidation Strength: The repeated tests near 101,400 without a full breakdown show buyers may be absorbing selling pressure, building a base.
Psychological Support: The 100,000–101,000 range is psychologically significant and could attract institutional bids.
Volume Analysis: If volume decreases during the current drop, it may indicate selling exhaustion. A sudden surge in volume on minor upswings could hint at accumulation.
Counter-Strategy: Instead of aggressively shorting near resistance, consider a wait-and-see approach. If 101,400 holds and BTC consolidates with bullish divergence on RSI or MACD, a long opportunity could emerge.
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ETH (Ethereum)
Although 2630 is identified as a key resistance, ETH is known for sharp reversals following liquidity sweeps.
Descending Wedge Potential: The current correction resembles a falling wedge—typically bullish.
Layered Support: ETH has multiple minor supports around 2450 and 2380, which could slow or reverse the correction.
ETH/BTC Ratio: If ETH begins to outperform BTC, even modestly, that may trigger an ETH-led rebound.
Counter-Strategy: Watch for fakeouts below 2500 followed by reclaim of 2550. That could trap shorts and offer an ideal long entry with tight risk.
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SOL (Solana)
Despite being in a 4-hour correction, SOL’s larger trend remains structurally strong:
Strong Higher Timeframe Trend: SOL is still within a macro uptrend, and short-term corrections often shake out weak hands before continuation.
Support Cluster: The 166–170 zone has acted as both support and resistance historically. A bounce here is highly probable.
Market Sentiment: SOL tends to react strongly to sentiment shifts; any bullish move in BTC/ETH could accelerate SOL’s rebound.
Counter-Strategy: Rather than shorting near current levels, monitor for bullish divergence around 166. A 4H close back above 170 could signal the end of correction and a renewed uptrend.
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Conclusion: While the dominant bias in the analysis is bearish, it's essential to remain adaptive. Markets often reverse when consensus becomes too one-sided. Watching for divergence signals, support holds, or breakout traps can offer contrarian opportunities with strong risk-reward profiles.