#比特币价格表现 After seeing James Wynn's moves this round, what comes to mind are patterns I've repeatedly witnessed over the years. Take profits on the short at 21,000 dollars, then a 40x leveraged long position with 1.24 million dollars——this rhythm is often the most psychologically testing moment in late-stage bull markets.
Going back to November, his two published bearish forecasts targeting 67,000 dollars, yet Bitcoin only pulled back without reaching that level. Now pivoting to bullish views targeting 92,000-97,000 dollars——this reminds me of countless "reverse operations" I've seen in the 2017 bull run. That's how markets work; after getting predictions right two or three times, people often overestimate their ability to judge the next move.
That said, the current environment is indeed different from the pessimism of November. Institutional inflows, spot ETF stable operations, macro expectations shifting——these are real variables. A 40x leveraged long liquidates around 97,000 dollars; the price of 87,111 means the safety margin he left himself isn't actually that large.
Such aggressive long positions either signal very high conviction on short-term upside, or it's a bet on a larger narrative shift. I've seen too many such operations get blown up at critical moments, and also seen people profit handsomely from such bold bets at cycle turning points. The key was never the prediction itself, but rather where the market actually trades and whether fundamentals truly support such prices.
#比特币价格表现 After seeing James Wynn's moves this round, what comes to mind are patterns I've repeatedly witnessed over the years. Take profits on the short at 21,000 dollars, then a 40x leveraged long position with 1.24 million dollars——this rhythm is often the most psychologically testing moment in late-stage bull markets.
Going back to November, his two published bearish forecasts targeting 67,000 dollars, yet Bitcoin only pulled back without reaching that level. Now pivoting to bullish views targeting 92,000-97,000 dollars——this reminds me of countless "reverse operations" I've seen in the 2017 bull run. That's how markets work; after getting predictions right two or three times, people often overestimate their ability to judge the next move.
That said, the current environment is indeed different from the pessimism of November. Institutional inflows, spot ETF stable operations, macro expectations shifting——these are real variables. A 40x leveraged long liquidates around 97,000 dollars; the price of 87,111 means the safety margin he left himself isn't actually that large.
Such aggressive long positions either signal very high conviction on short-term upside, or it's a bet on a larger narrative shift. I've seen too many such operations get blown up at critical moments, and also seen people profit handsomely from such bold bets at cycle turning points. The key was never the prediction itself, but rather where the market actually trades and whether fundamentals truly support such prices.