#比特币反弹 Yili Hua: Bitcoin rebound expected to reach $85,000! The next major correction could be the last chance to buy the dip, key levels are here
🔥Yili Hua: Bitcoin rebound expected to reach $85,000! The next major correction could be the last chance to buy the dip, key levels are here📅 Latest insights on April 21, founder of Liquid Capital, Yili Hua (JackYi), posted on X platform, providing a detailed analysis of the current crypto market trend, attracting widespread attention. He emphasized in the article: the current market is in a rebound phase, not a reversal, with a final buying opportunity in the medium term.
1. Core view: rebound to $85,000, buy the dip after a large correction
Yili Hua pointed out that he has recently maintained the view that it is a rebound, not a reversal, the key is where the rebound will reach. He initially predicted Bitcoin could rebound to $85,000 but stressed that no one can pinpoint the exact timing, and the most important thing is not to predict the absolute price, but to set profit-taking points based on personal expectations and risk management strategies.
Specifically:
Rebound target: Bitcoin $85,000, Ethereum $3,000–$3,300
Trading strategy: swing trading + spot buying the dip, emphasizing spot strategy, no leverage
Medium-term forecast: there may be another large correction, which would be an excellent final buying opportunity. He believes the crypto market still has potential for a bull run, with 2026 expected to usher in a major bull market, and the secondary market will be the best time for bottom-fishing and primary investments.
From a trading and cycle perspective, the market is in an adjustment phase, waiting for an extreme bottom, as the last chance to get on before the cycle shifts.
2. Four potential trigger factors: what could cause a big correction?
Yili Hua clearly pointed out that the trigger for a large correction could come from four aspects:
1️⃣ US stocks retreat from all-time highs
2️⃣ Risk assets decline across the board
3️⃣ Oil prices spiral out of control
4️⃣ Inflation data exceeds expectations, leading the Fed to abandon rate cuts or even consider rate hikes
US stocks: recently hit record highs, warning signs of correction have sounded
Last Friday, the S&P 500 hit a new high, and Goldman Sachs trading desk immediately issued a warning — the market has reached a critical point for a correction.
Goldman Sachs US trading chief John Flood explicitly stated: the market is fully prepared for a correction. On April 20, US stocks began to decline: all three major indices fell, Dow down 0.01%, S&P 500 down 0.24%, Nasdaq down 0.26%, ending a 13-day winning streak. Large tech stocks generally declined, and crypto-related stocks fell further. Goldman Sachs analysis pointed out that this rally was mainly driven by short covering rather than fundamentals, and downward pressure is building.
Oil prices: Middle East tensions escalate, crude oil surges nearly 7%
On April 20, the US military fired on and seized an Iranian cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman, Iran responded by reasserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil and natural gas prices to soar.
That day, WTI crude futures jumped 6.87%, closing at $89.61 per barrel; Brent crude rose 5.64%, closing at $95.48 per barrel. Some institutions warned that if the situation worsens, oil prices could gradually rise to $105–$115 per barrel. Yili Hua judges that if oil prices spiral out of control, inflation will transmit to the Fed’s monetary policy, further suppressing the crypto market.
Inflation: Oil shocks begin to show, rate hike fears intensify
Oil price surges are already reflected in inflation data. Canada’s March CPI annual rate soared to 2.4%, the highest since late last year, mainly driven by gasoline prices. The market generally expects US CPI month-on-month to reach 0.9%–1.1% this week, up significantly from the previous 0.5%.
More concerning is that Yili Hua worries that "terrifying inflation data" could cause the Fed to completely abandon rate cuts or even consider hikes. Although current CME data shows a 0% probability of rate hikes in April, the market has begun pricing in this risk — if Fed policy expectations reverse, it could fundamentally impact crypto valuation systems.
Risk asset linkage: crypto correlates strongly with US stocks
When Nasdaq and S&P 500 weaken, crypto concept stocks generally decline, often more than the market. As high-risk assets, cryptocurrencies are highly sensitive to geopolitical news. Yili Hua explicitly pointed out that if a high US stock level triggers a risk asset sell-off, the crypto market will find it hard to remain unaffected.
3. Why does Yili Hua emphasize "rebound not reversal"?
Yili Hua defines the current market as a rebound rather than a trend reversal, based on:
Macroeconomic environment not fundamentally improved: Fed has not shifted to easing, liquidity remains tight
Market structure still in repair: no new upward trend driven by liquidity has formed
Risk of a secondary bottom: before confirming a bottom, a large correction may occur first
His trading strategy is therefore: swing trading, mainly spot, no leverage, gradually taking profits during the rebound, while holding cash for the final buying opportunity after a large correction.
The core logic of this strategy is: capital preservation over profit, maintaining strength amid volatility.
4. Other market voices
Yili Hua is not the only trader expecting a correction. Another popular trader, Crypto Jack, issued a more extreme warning — due to US-Iran tensions, Bank of Japan liquidity operations, and Bitcoin’s failure to break through the $75,000 resistance, Bitcoin could first fall to $48,000, then rebound in May.
Goldman Sachs trading desk also explicitly warned: the current market leverage ratio is as high as 310%, in the 98th percentile over five years, with extremely crowded positions. Once sentiment reverses, deleveraging pressure will be released en masse.
Yili Hua’s view reflects a seasoned market participant’s typical thinking framework during bull-bear cycles: firmly believing in a long-term bull market, managing risks and seeking opportunities by identifying short- and medium-term market rhythms. He sets key price targets during rebounds as profit-taking references, while always waiting for a "final correction" as the ultimate buying opportunity. However, he also repeatedly emphasizes that "no one can pinpoint the exact timing," and openly shares past experiences of missing out on major bull markets due to early selling. Investors should combine their risk tolerance, set reasonable profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, and stay optimistic in the medium to long term while managing short-term risks.
This article’s insights are compiled from Yili Hua (JackYi)’s posts on X platform and public media reports, with data as of April 21, 2026.
📌 The above content does not constitute investment advice. Market risks exist; decisions should be made cautiously. #比特币反弹
🔥Yili Hua: Bitcoin rebound expected to reach $85,000! The next major correction could be the last chance to buy the dip, key levels are here📅 Latest insights on April 21, founder of Liquid Capital, Yili Hua (JackYi), posted on X platform, providing a detailed analysis of the current crypto market trend, attracting widespread attention. He emphasized in the article: the current market is in a rebound phase, not a reversal, with a final buying opportunity in the medium term.
1. Core view: rebound to $85,000, buy the dip after a large correction
Yili Hua pointed out that he has recently maintained the view that it is a rebound, not a reversal, the key is where the rebound will reach. He initially predicted Bitcoin could rebound to $85,000 but stressed that no one can pinpoint the exact timing, and the most important thing is not to predict the absolute price, but to set profit-taking points based on personal expectations and risk management strategies.
Specifically:
Rebound target: Bitcoin $85,000, Ethereum $3,000–$3,300
Trading strategy: swing trading + spot buying the dip, emphasizing spot strategy, no leverage
Medium-term forecast: there may be another large correction, which would be an excellent final buying opportunity. He believes the crypto market still has potential for a bull run, with 2026 expected to usher in a major bull market, and the secondary market will be the best time for bottom-fishing and primary investments.
From a trading and cycle perspective, the market is in an adjustment phase, waiting for an extreme bottom, as the last chance to get on before the cycle shifts.
2. Four potential trigger factors: what could cause a big correction?
Yili Hua clearly pointed out that the trigger for a large correction could come from four aspects:
1️⃣ US stocks retreat from all-time highs
2️⃣ Risk assets decline across the board
3️⃣ Oil prices spiral out of control
4️⃣ Inflation data exceeds expectations, leading the Fed to abandon rate cuts or even consider rate hikes
US stocks: recently hit record highs, warning signs of correction have sounded
Last Friday, the S&P 500 hit a new high, and Goldman Sachs trading desk immediately issued a warning — the market has reached a critical point for a correction.
Goldman Sachs US trading chief John Flood explicitly stated: the market is fully prepared for a correction. On April 20, US stocks began to decline: all three major indices fell, Dow down 0.01%, S&P 500 down 0.24%, Nasdaq down 0.26%, ending a 13-day winning streak. Large tech stocks generally declined, and crypto-related stocks fell further. Goldman Sachs analysis pointed out that this rally was mainly driven by short covering rather than fundamentals, and downward pressure is building.
Oil prices: Middle East tensions escalate, crude oil surges nearly 7%
On April 20, the US military fired on and seized an Iranian cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman, Iran responded by reasserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil and natural gas prices to soar.
That day, WTI crude futures jumped 6.87%, closing at $89.61 per barrel; Brent crude rose 5.64%, closing at $95.48 per barrel. Some institutions warned that if the situation worsens, oil prices could gradually rise to $105–$115 per barrel. Yili Hua judges that if oil prices spiral out of control, inflation will transmit to the Fed’s monetary policy, further suppressing the crypto market.
Inflation: Oil shocks begin to show, rate hike fears intensify
Oil price surges are already reflected in inflation data. Canada’s March CPI annual rate soared to 2.4%, the highest since late last year, mainly driven by gasoline prices. The market generally expects US CPI month-on-month to reach 0.9%–1.1% this week, up significantly from the previous 0.5%.
More concerning is that Yili Hua worries that "terrifying inflation data" could cause the Fed to completely abandon rate cuts or even consider hikes. Although current CME data shows a 0% probability of rate hikes in April, the market has begun pricing in this risk — if Fed policy expectations reverse, it could fundamentally impact crypto valuation systems.
Risk asset linkage: crypto correlates strongly with US stocks
When Nasdaq and S&P 500 weaken, crypto concept stocks generally decline, often more than the market. As high-risk assets, cryptocurrencies are highly sensitive to geopolitical news. Yili Hua explicitly pointed out that if a high US stock level triggers a risk asset sell-off, the crypto market will find it hard to remain unaffected.
3. Why does Yili Hua emphasize "rebound not reversal"?
Yili Hua defines the current market as a rebound rather than a trend reversal, based on:
Macroeconomic environment not fundamentally improved: Fed has not shifted to easing, liquidity remains tight
Market structure still in repair: no new upward trend driven by liquidity has formed
Risk of a secondary bottom: before confirming a bottom, a large correction may occur first
His trading strategy is therefore: swing trading, mainly spot, no leverage, gradually taking profits during the rebound, while holding cash for the final buying opportunity after a large correction.
The core logic of this strategy is: capital preservation over profit, maintaining strength amid volatility.
4. Other market voices
Yili Hua is not the only trader expecting a correction. Another popular trader, Crypto Jack, issued a more extreme warning — due to US-Iran tensions, Bank of Japan liquidity operations, and Bitcoin’s failure to break through the $75,000 resistance, Bitcoin could first fall to $48,000, then rebound in May.
Goldman Sachs trading desk also explicitly warned: the current market leverage ratio is as high as 310%, in the 98th percentile over five years, with extremely crowded positions. Once sentiment reverses, deleveraging pressure will be released en masse.
Yili Hua’s view reflects a seasoned market participant’s typical thinking framework during bull-bear cycles: firmly believing in a long-term bull market, managing risks and seeking opportunities by identifying short- and medium-term market rhythms. He sets key price targets during rebounds as profit-taking references, while always waiting for a "final correction" as the ultimate buying opportunity. However, he also repeatedly emphasizes that "no one can pinpoint the exact timing," and openly shares past experiences of missing out on major bull markets due to early selling. Investors should combine their risk tolerance, set reasonable profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, and stay optimistic in the medium to long term while managing short-term risks.
This article’s insights are compiled from Yili Hua (JackYi)’s posts on X platform and public media reports, with data as of April 21, 2026.
📌 The above content does not constitute investment advice. Market risks exist; decisions should be made cautiously. #比特币反弹
